← Whale Watch

HardBet

Predicting since Nov 2025127 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$13.0¢8.1¢+$2
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$220¢28¢+$1
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$235¢51¢+$1
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 49%?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Keir Starmer say "Healthcare" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will JPMorgan say "Tariff" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Keir Starmer say "Greenland" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 45%?PoliticsYesResolved$23.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?MentionsYesResolved$17.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 47% and 48%?PoliticsYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in January?EconomyYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 47%?PoliticsYesResolved$22.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Soccer (other)Sporting CPResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?EconomyYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 49% and 50%?PoliticsYesResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$61.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?MentionsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 45% and 46%?PoliticsYesResolved$23.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsYesResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?WeatherYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?EconomyYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$42
Crypto-$26
Mentions+$20
Champions League-$11
Tech-$10
Soccer (other)+$5
Economy-$4
Culture-$2
Finance-$1
Weather-$1
Premier League+$0
Biggest hit
+$98
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$27
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$21mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$12mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$12mo ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$02mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$12mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$12mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$12mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$12mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$52mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$12mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$02mo ago