← Whale Watch

CiaoBilly

Predicting since Dec 2025154 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $36K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $7.1K riding on US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?.

Biggest hit: +$5.6K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$396¢98¢+$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$7.1K79¢0.0¢-$7.1K
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?PoliticsNoResolved$674.3¢0.0¢-$67
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?PoliticsNoResolved$11780¢0.0¢-$117
Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.7K78¢0.0¢-$1.7K
North Korea missile launch by March 15?PoliticsNoResolved$465¢0.0¢-$4
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?PoliticsYesResolved$15514¢0.0¢-$155
Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.5K71¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$46472¢0.0¢-$464
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3997.9¢0.0¢-$399
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2425¢0.0¢-$24
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$3.7K81¢0.0¢-$3.7K
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K76¢0.0¢-$1.1K
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?PoliticsNoResolved$1271¢0.0¢-$12
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$38417¢0.0¢-$384
Khamenei public appearance by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$58970¢0.0¢-$589

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$36K
Finance-$26K
Culture+$0
Biggest hit
+$5.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$25K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.0K18d ago
  • Bought No · Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$2421d ago
  • Bought No · Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$31421d ago
  • Bought No · Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$2125d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$6.0K25d ago
  • Bought No · Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$221mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1671mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$241mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$501mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$221mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$01mo ago