Belmondo

Predicting since Dec 202535 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?Premier League	YesResolved	$72	75¢	100¢	+$24
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy	Yes	$35	18¢	10¢	-$15
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$9	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?Culture	YesResolved	$10	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	14¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$5	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	9.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "I Swear" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$2	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$6	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics	YesResolved	$2	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$5	12¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$6	19¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics	NoResolved	$2	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$8	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$2	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	NoResolved	$5	18¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	31¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$10	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$52	9.2¢	0.0¢	-$52
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$10	62¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Olympics	YesResolved	$5	44¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$13	26¢	0.0¢	-$13
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	38¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?Culture	YesResolved	$5	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$20	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?Culture	NoResolved	$7	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Culture	YesResolved	$3	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$15	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$86

Politics-$26

Premier League+$24

Economy-$15

Olympics-$7

Tech-$6

Crypto+$0

Biggest hit

+$45

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Toughest beat

-$7

Will Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$732mo ago
Bought Yes · Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$203mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?$274mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$604mo ago
Bought Yes · Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$74mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$154mo ago
Bought Yes · Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$44mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Hamnet win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$44mo ago
Bought Yes · Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$155mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$55mo ago