 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $74 | 74¢ | 59¢ | -$15 |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $71 | 71¢ | 46¢ | -$26 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Tech | No | $58 | 58¢ | 34¢ | -$24 |
 Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?Finance | Stripe | $82 | 82¢ | 24¢ | -$58 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?Finance | Yes | $27 | 45¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
 Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$7 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 17¢ | -$11 |
| Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Politics | No | $33 | 50¢ | 18¢ | -$21 |
| Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$12 |
 Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $22 | 22¢ | 9.5¢ | -$13 |
| Will anyone say "Marriage" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | Yes | $52 | 52¢ | 9.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?Mentions | No | $16 | 70¢ | 38¢ | -$7 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $19 | 19¢ | 8.6¢ | -$10 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $16 | 31¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $52 | 52¢ | 6.6¢ | -$45 |
 Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 27¢ | 6.0¢ | -$21 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 5.5¢ | -$12 |
 Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 7.6¢ | -$4 |
| Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $9.5B and $11B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 5.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $27 | 27¢ | 4.8¢ | -$22 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 4.8¢ | -$20 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 9.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | -$8 |
| Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 4.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 3.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | Yes | $43 | 43¢ | 2.8¢ | -$40 |
 Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 2.6¢ | -$11 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$7 |
 Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?MLB | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$7 |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $38 | 38¢ | 1.7¢ | -$36 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?MLB | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $1 | 84¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $80 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $25 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Brett Newby be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the announcers say "Much Anticipated" during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will "Soul" be said 5+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?eSports | NoResolved | $19 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2eSports | NoResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $42.5B by July 31?Finance | NoResolved | $61 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 Will 100T make a roster change before August?eSports | NoResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $39 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?NHL | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Sold No · Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1142m ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$136h ago
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