Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics | NoResolved | $57 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |