← Whale Watch

jim11

Predicting since Jan 2024148 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.6K on Tech markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $2.0K riding on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?.

Biggest hit: +$1.0K on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.0K93¢95¢+$32
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?CultureNoResolved$100097¢100¢+$32
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?TechNoResolved$65093¢100¢+$48
Anthropic acquired in 2025?TechNoResolved$50093¢100¢+$39
Will the next UK election be called by December 31?OtherNoResolved$30089¢100¢+$37
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$10040¢100¢+$150
OpenAI social app in 2025?TechYesResolved$8034¢100¢+$155
OpenAI acquired in 2025?TechNoResolved$17091¢100¢+$17
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?CultureNoResolved$10084¢100¢+$19
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?TechNoResolved$10089¢100¢+$12
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$4086¢100¢+$7
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$10026¢0.0¢-$100
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?TechYesResolved$10077¢0.0¢-$100
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$20039¢0.0¢-$200
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? PoliticsNoResolved$209.2¢0.0¢-$20
Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?TechYesResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?TechYesResolved$36038¢0.0¢-$360
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?TechYesResolved$2059¢0.0¢-$20
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?TechYesResolved$12032¢0.0¢-$120
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$42030¢0.0¢-$420
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?TechYesResolved$15022¢0.0¢-$150
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?TechYesResolved$3010.0¢0.0¢-$30
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?PoliticsYesResolved$15022¢0.0¢-$150
Israel military action against Iran in July?PoliticsYesResolved$4042¢0.0¢-$40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNoResolved$10067¢0.0¢-$100
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?TechYesResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$29057¢0.0¢-$290
Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?TechYesResolved$2120¢0.0¢-$21
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4030¢0.0¢-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$1.6K
Politics+$705
Economy-$302
Mentions-$202
Other+$159
Culture+$51
Olympics+$41
Crypto-$5
Biggest hit
+$1.0K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$440
Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2546mo ago
  • Sold No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2666mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.0K6mo ago
  • Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2006mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2806mo ago
  • Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$806mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$11611mo ago
  • Bought Yes · AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$1001y ago
  • Cashed out No · DeepSeek banned in US before July?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next UK election be called by June 30?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Sam Altman arrested before July?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · DeepSeek banned in US before July?$641y ago