Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | No | $122 | 22¢ | 93¢ | +$381 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $244 | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$17 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | No | $250 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
Jonathan Majors as Kang?Culture | No | $213 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | No | $192 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10?Weather | No | $189 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 10?Weather | No | $160 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Politics | No | $82 | 38¢ | 62¢ | +$51 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10?Weather | No | $120 | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$12 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $118 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$7 |
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Politics | No | $104 | 25¢ | 29¢ | +$19 |
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $271 | 22¢ | 9.5¢ | -$153 |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $115 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
Rippling IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $278 | 22¢ | 8.5¢ | -$171 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $99 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$4 |
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Culture | Yes | $75 | 37¢ | 48¢ | +$21 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $120 | 40¢ | 29¢ | -$33 |
Vanta IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $280 | 22¢ | 6.5¢ | -$199 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $267 | 21¢ | 6.5¢ | -$185 |
Ramp IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $235 | 30¢ | 9.5¢ | -$161 |
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $167 | 18¢ | 7.5¢ | -$98 |
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $211 | 17¢ | 5.5¢ | -$144 |
Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $85 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$24 |
Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $232 | 27¢ | 7.0¢ | -$171 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $62 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $204 | 23¢ | 6.5¢ | -$147 |
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | No | $58 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?Culture | Yes | $69 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$15 |
Celonis IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $223 | 24¢ | 5.5¢ | -$171 |
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Politics | Yes | $119 | 40¢ | 16¢ | -$71 |
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?Politics | Yes | $136 | 31¢ | 10¢ | -$92 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $69 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$28 |
Ledger IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $144 | 35¢ | 9.5¢ | -$105 |
Remote IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $64 | 18¢ | 11¢ | -$26 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $38 | 46¢ | 43¢ | -$2 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | No | $21 | 8.2¢ | 13¢ | +$13 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $30 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?eSports | No | $43 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$12 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | Yes | $30 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $53 | 47¢ | 25¢ | -$25 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $44 | 16¢ | 9.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.5¢ | 14¢ | +$19 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?Crypto | Yes | $93 | 21¢ | 5.5¢ | -$68 |
Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $17 | 36¢ | 51¢ | +$7 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 10?Weather | No | $23 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Jonathan Majors as Kang?Culture | Yes | $27 | 9.3¢ | 7.2¢ | -$6 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | Yes | $42 | 16¢ | 8.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?Politics | No | $32 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$11 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | Yes | $19 | 6.1¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $19 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 70¢ | 39¢ | -$16 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $18 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
Glean IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $41 | 16¢ | 6.5¢ | -$25 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $14 | 4.5¢ | 5.1¢ | +$2 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?Crypto | Yes | $80 | 31¢ | 5.5¢ | -$65 |
Deel IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $87 | 28¢ | 4.5¢ | -$73 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?Culture | No | $12 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?Culture | No | $26 | 20¢ | 9.5¢ | -$13 |
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 35¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $225 | 19¢ | 1.1¢ | -$213 |
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $221 | 21¢ | 1.1¢ | -$209 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Politics | No | $19 | 28¢ | 17¢ | -$7 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $20 | 16¢ | 6.3¢ | -$12 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | Yes | $9 | 3.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$2 |
Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $22 | 30¢ | 9.0¢ | -$15 |
Canva IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $43 | 21¢ | 3.0¢ | -$37 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 4.6¢ | 2.9¢ | -$3 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?Crypto | Yes | $31 | 19¢ | 2.7¢ | -$27 |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 54¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
Brex IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $15 | 5.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$11 |
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 4.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$10 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Crypto | Yes | $20 | 24¢ | 4.0¢ | -$17 |
Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 4.8¢ | -$7 |
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.9¢ | 3.1¢ | -$2 |
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 29¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | No | $2 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 8.0¢ | 47¢ | +$2 |
Waymo IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $17 | 34¢ | 3.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?Politics | No | $1 | 7.0¢ | 7.2¢ | +$0 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $35 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | -$34 |
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $34 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$33 |