← Whale Watch

richsmith

Predicting since May 2025287 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.2K on Politics markets since May 2025.

Right now: $4.3K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$3.2K on US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4.3K17¢17¢-$53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.6K38¢54¢+$669
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$96783¢35¢-$560
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$33083¢87¢+$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5614¢30¢+$62
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$10675¢68¢-$10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$2187¢90¢+$1
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechYes$6030¢6.5¢-$47
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$842¢21¢-$4
Will Starbucks say "Peppermint" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$593¢0.0¢-$5
Will Roku say "Tariff" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$664¢0.0¢-$6
Will Palantir say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$486¢0.0¢-$4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$1976¢0.0¢-$19
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$4127¢0.0¢-$41
Colts vs. SteelersNFLColtsResolved$20062¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3013¢0.0¢-$30
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)MentionsNoResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will Shayne say "Mention" during 60 Minutes?MentionsYesResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?TechYesResolved$9763¢0.0¢-$97
Will EA say "Jared / Kushner" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$5817¢0.0¢-$58
Will Meta say "Cloud" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$363¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$4214¢0.0¢-$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1533¢0.0¢-$15
Will Amazon say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$483¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$8731¢0.0¢-$87
Will Google say "Profitability" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsYesResolved$19940¢0.0¢-$199
Will Trump say "Farmer" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?MentionsNoResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will Starbucks say "Pumpkin Spice" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$590¢0.0¢-$5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$22044¢0.0¢-$220
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?MentionsYesResolved$472¢0.0¢-$4
Will DraftKings say "CFTC" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$592¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$177.1¢0.0¢-$17
Will Shayne say "Ukraine" or "Gaza" during 60 Minutes?MentionsYesResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?CryptoYesResolved$1664¢0.0¢-$16
Will Shayne say "Airdrop" during 60 Minutes?MentionsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?CryptoNoResolved$1762¢0.0¢-$17
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$105.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$2959¢0.0¢-$29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$4317¢0.0¢-$43
Will Shayne say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 60 Minutes?MentionsYesResolved$363¢0.0¢-$3
Will Starbucks say "Canada" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$958¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump pardon both turkeys?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.7¢0.0¢-$4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$69614¢0.0¢-$696
Will Shayne say "Bet on your Beliefs" during 60 Minutes?MentionsYesResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?FinanceYesResolved$65.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$9889¢0.0¢-$98
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?MentionsYesResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Pilgrim" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?MentionsYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$173¢0.0¢-$1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Broncos vs. CommandersNFLCommandersResolved$1711¢0.0¢-$17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.2K
Tech-$3.0K
Crypto-$270
Mentions-$75
NFL+$55
Culture+$41
eSports+$26
Other sports+$11
Economy+$11
Finance+$8
Biggest hit
+$3.2K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Toughest beat
-$2.4K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3316d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$6116d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$41216d ago