 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 12¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.8¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.8¢ | 3.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | -$4 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1 | 64¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $70 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $15 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $15 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $20 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $47 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $80 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bought No · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$116d ago