← Whale Watch

0xf24f1Cf27B273daaDEfD5D363A4E7f93454e80e3-1763849675002

Predicting since Nov 20251,348 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$12.0¢43¢+$20
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$211¢51¢+$8
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$428¢43¢+$2
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsNo$121¢91¢+$5
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsNo$227¢85¢+$4
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$210¢21¢+$2
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$211¢27¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$228¢51¢+$2
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$365¢80¢+$1
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$361¢66¢+$0
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$29.0¢16¢+$1
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?TechYes$38.0¢7.5¢-$0
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$16.0¢14¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$325¢28¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$224¢27¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$328¢27¢-$0
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$327¢27¢-$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?PoliticsYes$11.1¢2.6¢+$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$26.0¢6.5¢+$0
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$219¢25¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$215¢16¢+$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$313¢11¢-$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$231¢43¢+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$26.0¢6.0¢+$0
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsSomething$326¢17¢-$1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$234¢41¢+$0
Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$27.0¢6.5¢-$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$22.7¢3.0¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$215¢13¢-$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$18.4¢14¢+$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?PoliticsYes$27.0¢6.5¢-$0
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?CryptoYes$12.8¢5.3¢+$1
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyYes$325¢16¢-$1
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11.1¢3.1¢+$1
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$09.0¢35¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$11.7¢1.8¢+$0
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherYes$211¢9.5¢-$0
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$13.6¢3.5¢-$0
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$10.8¢1.1¢+$0
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?PoliticsYes$231¢17¢-$1
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10.9¢0.9¢-$0
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?PoliticsYes$214¢8.5¢-$1
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10.9¢1.1¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$217¢13¢-$0
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$16.0¢6.0¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$211¢6.0¢-$1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$12.2¢2.4¢+$0
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$13.5¢3.9¢+$0
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$221¢12¢-$1
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$12.6¢2.6¢+$0
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?PoliticsYes$111¢11¢-$0
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$12.9¢2.5¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?WeatherYesResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?CryptoYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 16?WeatherYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?WeatherYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?WeatherYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$38.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?FinanceYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$01.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?WeatherYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?PoliticsYesResolved$02.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$27.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 16?WeatherYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 2?WeatherYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?eSportsYesResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?CultureYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$25.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Cabinet meeting?MentionsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12?WeatherNoResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$168
World Cup-$58
Weather-$25
Tech-$20
Culture-$16
Finance-$15
Mentions-$14
Tennis-$13
eSports-$10
Crypto-$9
Economy-$7
Golf+$4
Biggest hit
+$33
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Toughest beat
-$5
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$113h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$114h ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$215h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$223h ago
  • Bought Yes · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?$01d ago