ethmar

Predicting since Oct 202569 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	Yes	$280	25¢	10¢	-$167
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech	Yes	$139	62¢	19¢	-$98
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$200	74¢	13¢	-$166
Discord IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$50	66¢	36¢	-$23
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Crypto	Yes	$50	39¢	4.5¢	-$44
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$5	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech	YesResolved	$9	21¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?Politics	YesResolved	$2	34¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Politics	NoResolved	$25	23¢	0.0¢	-$25
Lecornu out as French PM by November 30?Politics	YesResolved	$5	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$222	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$222
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Politics	YesResolved	$6	11¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions	YesResolved	$100	54¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions	YesResolved	$20	12¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?Politics	YesResolved	$10	25¢	0.0¢	-$10
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Politics	YesResolved	$10	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$252	27¢	0.0¢	-$252
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?Culture	NoResolved	$25	42¢	0.0¢	-$25
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Crypto	NoResolved	$19	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$19
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	79¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Tech	YesResolved	$25	11¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	63¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?Culture	YesResolved	$5	7.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Tech	NoResolved	$59	41¢	0.0¢	-$59
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$25	54¢	0.0¢	-$25
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$60	15¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?Politics	YesResolved	$30	21¢	0.0¢	-$30
OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$50	63¢	0.0¢	-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$483

Crypto-$273

Culture+$235

Politics+$136

Mentions-$124

Economy-$92

Biggest hit

+$384

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Toughest beat

-$71

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$1411mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$611mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$311mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$102mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1022mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?$212mo ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2492mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2002mo ago
Bought Yes · Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$102mo ago
Sold Yes · Critical Discord Incident by May 31?$192mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$152mo ago
Bought Yes · Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$522mo ago