cravenpirater

Predicting since Apr 202561 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics	No	$141	94¢	94¢	-$1
OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?Tech	No	$138	92¢	75¢	-$26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$88	84¢	84¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$8	57¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Formula 1	YesResolved	$133	74¢	0.0¢	-$133
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$7	7.3¢	0.0¢	-$7
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Politics	NoResolved	$2	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Weather	NoResolved	$26	26¢	0.0¢	-$26
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Politics	NoResolved	$45	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$9	8.6¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$167	55¢	0.0¢	-$167
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?Crypto	YesResolved	$100	59¢	0.0¢	-$100
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$130	26¢	0.0¢	-$130
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?Crypto	NoResolved	$49	81¢	0.0¢	-$49
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Crypto	YesResolved	$165	48¢	0.0¢	-$165
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$4	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Formula 1-$473

Politics+$395

Weather+$332

Crypto-$301

Cricket+$175

Tech-$20

Economy-$1

Culture-$1

Biggest hit

+$358

Megaquake before August?

Toughest beat

-$236

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Recent moves

Bought No · OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?$1191d ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$882d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?$1412d ago
Bought No · OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?$192d ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3762d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2934mo ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2944mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$115mo ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$125mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$125mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$15mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?$05mo ago