← Whale Watch

EconomistOx

Predicting since Mar 202696 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$21886¢85¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$12673¢99¢+$45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$15586¢92¢+$10
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?OtherNo$10687¢85¢-$3
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?PoliticsNo$9694¢97¢+$3
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$8579¢88¢+$9
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$8986¢89¢+$3
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$6086¢93¢+$5
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$6383¢84¢+$0
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsNo$5294¢97¢+$2
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$4594¢98¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$2020¢42¢+$22
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4098¢100¢+$1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3099¢99¢+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$3088¢77¢-$4
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2596¢99¢+$1
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$2091¢94¢+$1
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$2093¢95¢+$0
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$2084¢86¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$2097¢97¢+$0
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? PoliticsNo$2098¢92¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2096¢83¢-$3
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1187¢92¢+$1
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$570¢86¢+$1
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$529¢27¢-$0
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyYes$945¢17¢-$6
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$589¢0.0¢-$5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$1558¢0.0¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$350
World Cup+$20
Economy-$6
Culture+$6
Other-$1
Biggest hit
+$73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$214d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?$155d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$125d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$59d ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$309d ago
  • Bought No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$109d ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$109d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$409d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$579d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$419d ago
  • Sold No · Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$29d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2010d ago