 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 21?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $15 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in November?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Sold No · 5kt meteor strike in 2026?$3319d ago