← Whale Watch

gopfan2

Predicting since Aug 20242,026 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.5M on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $151K riding on Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?.

Biggest hit: +$920K on Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$151K69¢56¢-$28K
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$27K29¢55¢+$23K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$33K17¢13¢-$8.9K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$20K29¢24¢-$3.8K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$9.1K3.0¢4.9¢+$5.6K
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$10.0K49¢56¢+$1.4K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$8.5K33¢44¢+$2.8K
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$2.6K16¢42¢+$4.0K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4.0K61¢92¢+$2.0K
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherYes$4.4K73¢95¢+$1.3K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.4K2.4¢8.8¢+$3.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.7K54¢92¢+$1.9K
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.8K73¢81¢+$392
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$1.4K16¢48¢+$2.7K
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.5K66¢96¢+$1.1K
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$3.1K85¢92¢+$274
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K65¢89¢+$834
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2.7K49¢56¢+$347
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.8K62¢96¢+$993
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.5K40¢44¢+$251
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K59¢59¢-$37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$1.9K60¢81¢+$656
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$2.1K95¢98¢+$81
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.0K60¢59¢-$43
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$2.1K21¢20¢-$100
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K39¢44¢+$160
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K63¢87¢+$395
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$96880¢88¢+$97
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$88874¢87¢+$150
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$95690¢96¢+$69
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$93586¢81¢-$60
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?PoliticsNo$67171¢84¢+$123
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$74995¢100¢+$36
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?WeatherNo$72080¢86¢+$54
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$32911¢27¢+$434
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$60574¢87¢+$102
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$64151¢51¢-$6
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$41478¢97¢+$98
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$42850¢56¢+$60
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18937¢93¢+$283
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23164¢87¢+$83
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$2598.6¢10¢+$46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$65470¢24¢-$435
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$12950¢78¢+$71
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$12255¢86¢+$67
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?CryptoNo$15173¢86¢+$27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1366.3¢8.2¢+$41
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$7115¢32¢+$80
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$13428¢26¢-$13
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes$474.6¢10¢+$58
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$86913¢1.1¢-$795
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?CryptoNo$5468¢91¢+$18
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?CryptoNo$4463¢88¢+$18
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$8335¢16¢-$46
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$22731¢5.0¢-$191
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3253¢57¢+$2
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$823¢91¢+$23
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?CryptoNo$1783¢95¢+$2
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1170¢96¢+$4
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?PoliticsNo$1175¢92¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1068¢73¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$822¢18¢-$1
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?PoliticsYesResolved$667.0¢0.0¢-$66
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?WeatherYesResolved$31624¢0.0¢-$316
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?PoliticsYesResolved$16114¢0.0¢-$161
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$11K54¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7102.6¢0.0¢-$710
Will turnout be between 6.2 million and 6.6 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?PoliticsNoResolved$45075¢0.0¢-$450
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?WeatherYesResolved$751.8¢0.0¢-$75
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$24315¢0.0¢-$243
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?PoliticsYesResolved$3.5K38¢0.0¢-$3.5K
Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5NHLUnderResolved$1.5K51¢0.0¢-$1.5K
2025 September third hottest on record?WeatherYesResolved$2.5K47¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?PoliticsYesResolved$14421¢0.0¢-$144
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$11K57¢0.0¢-$11K
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 60% and 62%?PoliticsYesResolved$1885.3¢0.0¢-$188
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$10319¢0.0¢-$103
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Champions LeagueYesResolved$4.4K22¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?PoliticsYesResolved$189.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?PoliticsYesResolved$7.7K17¢0.0¢-$7.7K
Bruins vs. IslandersNHLIslandersResolved$4.9K31¢0.0¢-$4.9K
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)Basketball (other)Eastern Kentucky ColonelsResolved$7.7K51¢0.0¢-$7.7K
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?World CupNoResolved$25K51¢0.0¢-$25K
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$9.5K45¢0.0¢-$9.5K
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4742.6¢0.0¢-$474
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$7.1K7.1¢0.0¢-$7.1K
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?PoliticsYesResolved$2107.0¢0.0¢-$210
Chargers vs. ChiefsNFLChiefsResolved$9.3K55¢0.0¢-$9.3K
Will Kyrgyzstan win Intervision 2025?CultureYesResolved$51054¢0.0¢-$510
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$3.4K42¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09?Soccer (other)YesResolved$4.1K61¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Nets vs. 76ersNBA76ersResolved$20K79¢0.0¢-$20K
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20723¢0.0¢-$207
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$62311¢0.0¢-$623
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$2.3K52¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Epstein client list released in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5.5K22¢0.0¢-$5.5K
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$1.3K8.4¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)eSportsLiquidResolved$27K59¢0.0¢-$27K
North Texas vs. TulaneOther sportsNorth TexasResolved$25K51¢0.0¢-$25K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.5M
Weather+$242K
Crypto+$221K
NFL-$213K
NBA-$127K
World Cup-$110K
Tech+$103K
UFC / MMA+$86K
Basketball (other)+$61K
Champions League+$47K
La Liga-$40K
Premier League-$34K
Biggest hit
+$920K
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Toughest beat
-$470K
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$01d ago