← Whale Watch

ToadToad

Predicting since Oct 2024162 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.4K on Tech markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.1K across 2 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$1.8K69¢81¢+$310
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$24944¢34¢-$58
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$22.2¢3.1¢+$1
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?TechNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$43.7¢0.0¢-$4
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.6K62¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5033¢0.0¢-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$53.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?PoliticsNoResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$07.8¢0.0¢-$0
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$9115¢0.0¢-$91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$40.7¢0.0¢-$4
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$100.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$2063¢0.0¢-$20
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$207.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupEnglandResolved$3554¢0.0¢-$35
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 2?PoliticsYesResolved$64.1¢0.0¢-$6
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$2.4K
Finance+$1.7K
Politics-$913
World Cup-$115
Crypto+$14
Champions League+$2
Premier League+$1
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

Recent moves

  • Bought England · England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1510d ago
  • Bought England · England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2010d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5119d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?$019d ago
  • Sold Yes · GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$619d ago
  • Sold No · GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?$219d ago
  • Sold No · GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$220d ago
  • Sold Yes · GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$420d ago
  • Bought Yes · GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$620d ago
  • Bought No · GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?$320d ago
  • Bought No · GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$221d ago
  • Bought Yes · GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$821d ago