tobiasss

Predicting since Nov 202552 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	14¢	5.5¢	-$12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	17¢	13¢	-$3
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics	Yes	$5	4.8¢	2.7¢	-$2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Tech	YesResolved	$5	18¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$30	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?Politics	NoResolved	$2	11¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics	YesResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$18	19¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$10	19¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Tech	YesResolved	$2	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	YesResolved	$4	17¢	0.0¢	-$4
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Economy	NoResolved	$20	42¢	0.0¢	-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$25	30¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$65	28¢	0.0¢	-$65
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Politics	NoResolved	$2	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech	YesResolved	$2	21¢	0.0¢	-$2
US strike on Cuba by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$43

Economy+$27

Tech-$23

Culture-$20

Mentions+$18

Politics-$17

World Cup+$12

Finance-$10

Biggest hit

+$90

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Toughest beat

-$15

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Recent moves

Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2629m ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2730m ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$530m ago
Bought Yes · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$1013d ago
Sold Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$11813d ago
Bought Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$911mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$01mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$171mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$51mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$801mo ago