 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | Yes | $5 | 5.7¢ | 7.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.7¢ | 4.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 25?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $2 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Solana reach $90 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 17?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $15 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 17?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 17?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out No · Trump renames AI by September 30?$02d ago