Toptrade2026

Predicting since Feb 202643 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$1	22¢	0.0¢	-$1
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$5	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$11	17¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$49	70¢	0.0¢	-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$40	72¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$30	21¢	0.0¢	-$30
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	7.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$43	84¢	0.0¢	-$43
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Politics	NoResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$39	66¢	0.0¢	-$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$40	72¢	0.0¢	-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$176

Politics-$24

Culture-$1

Tech-$1

Finance-$1

Biggest hit

+$29

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Toughest beat

-$16

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$115mo ago
Sold No · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$25mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$75mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$405mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$405mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$405mo ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$05mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$05mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$05mo ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$455mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$05mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$05mo ago