← Whale Watch

Sardinianshepherd

Predicting since Jul 20241,565 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $8.7K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $19K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$3.1K on Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$19K75¢80¢+$991
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.8K60¢68¢+$884
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$7.1K81¢82¢+$137
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.4K90¢99¢+$548
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$3.0K86¢88¢+$43
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.4K88¢99¢+$318
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K56¢80¢+$731
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K82¢94¢+$287
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K77¢88¢+$258
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K84¢89¢+$73
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K62¢63¢+$5
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K64¢70¢+$100
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$98899¢100¢+$8
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$90090¢93¢+$30
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?TechYes$58684¢75¢-$64
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$47595¢98¢+$13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$42042¢44¢+$15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$31173¢60¢-$57
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$20329¢28¢-$11
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$909.0¢18¢+$85
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?PoliticsNo$11076¢100¢+$34
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?PoliticsYes$9010¢10¢-$3
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?PoliticsNo$579¢94¢+$1
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$192.3¢0.5¢-$15
Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$354.0¢0.3¢-$33
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$354.0¢0.3¢-$33
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1541.6¢0.0¢-$154
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?CultureYesResolved$45374¢0.0¢-$453
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$62216¢0.0¢-$622
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$797.9¢0.0¢-$79
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$20434¢0.0¢-$204
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$45591¢0.0¢-$455
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$23547¢0.0¢-$235
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?PoliticsYesResolved$17046¢0.0¢-$170
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureYesResolved$38615¢0.0¢-$386
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1611.6¢0.0¢-$161
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$22670¢0.0¢-$226
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$10613¢0.0¢-$106
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$3358¢0.0¢-$33
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$27021¢0.0¢-$270
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?PoliticsNoResolved$1613¢0.0¢-$16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$3011¢0.0¢-$30
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?TechNoResolved$11024¢0.0¢-$110
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$6814¢0.0¢-$68
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?MentionsNoResolved$15276¢0.0¢-$152
Will valid votes be between 5.8-6 million in Bolivia election?PoliticsYesResolved$14721¢0.0¢-$147
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 75% and 78%?PoliticsYesResolved$102.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$24021¢0.0¢-$240
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?MentionsYesResolved$186.1¢0.0¢-$18
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$4226¢0.0¢-$42
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2081.6¢0.0¢-$208
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?PoliticsYesResolved$5984¢0.0¢-$59
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?PoliticsNoResolved$10542¢0.0¢-$105
Will Katy Perry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$614.0¢0.0¢-$61
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureYesResolved$12967¢0.0¢-$129
Will Andrea Paccagnella win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?PoliticsYesResolved$2414¢0.0¢-$24
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2081.6¢0.0¢-$208
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$71159¢0.0¢-$711
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3156¢0.0¢-$31
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$154.4¢0.0¢-$15
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?PoliticsNoResolved$385.5¢0.0¢-$38
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$12224¢0.0¢-$122
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?NFLYesResolved$9426¢0.0¢-$94
Will the red bloc win between 90 and 92 seats in the Norwegian election?PoliticsYesResolved$1427¢0.0¢-$14
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$3617¢0.0¢-$36
Christian Democratic Party (KrF) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?PoliticsNoResolved$1331¢0.0¢-$13
Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2469.9¢0.0¢-$246
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2081.6¢0.0¢-$208
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?EconomyYesResolved$3111¢0.0¢-$31
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$7511¢0.0¢-$75
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1651.6¢0.0¢-$165
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$15760¢0.0¢-$157
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?PoliticsYesResolved$151.4¢0.0¢-$15
Will Luigi Petrone win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$19115¢0.0¢-$191
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1721.6¢0.0¢-$172
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?PoliticsYesResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$14911¢0.0¢-$149
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$39294¢0.0¢-$392
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?PoliticsYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)CultureNoResolved$3681¢0.0¢-$36
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?CultureYesResolved$16372¢0.0¢-$163
Will Andrew Cuomo win Queens in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$19079¢0.0¢-$190
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?CultureNoResolved$3020¢0.0¢-$30
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$4462.4¢0.0¢-$446
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$391.6¢0.0¢-$39
Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?NFLYesResolved$4815¢0.0¢-$48
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1061.6¢0.0¢-$106
Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?PoliticsNoResolved$15276¢0.0¢-$152
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8556¢0.0¢-$85
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?CultureNoResolved$36444¢0.0¢-$364
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$78.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?PoliticsYesResolved$737.0¢0.0¢-$73
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?WeatherNoResolved$97982¢0.0¢-$979
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$30310¢0.0¢-$303
Greg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2983¢0.0¢-$29
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 78% and 80%?PoliticsYesResolved$153.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be less than 75%?PoliticsYesResolved$173.4¢0.0¢-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$8.7K
Tech+$1.7K
Crypto-$1.3K
Finance+$1.2K
Mentions+$1.2K
NFL+$1.0K
Weather-$967
Culture-$511
Other sports+$183
UFC / MMA+$94
Economy-$53
Formula 1+$18
Biggest hit
+$3.1K
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7904h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4186h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1887h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$16111h ago
  • Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$8116h ago
  • Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$616h ago
  • Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$8216h ago
  • Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1616h ago
  • Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$48917h ago
  • Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$3317h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$17621h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$47521h ago