Semen-Demon

Predicting since Aug 2023116 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $18K on Politics markets since Aug 2023.

Right now: $5.0K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$17K on 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$1.7K	12¢	5.9¢	-$856
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$1.0K	15¢	11¢	-$287
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$797	5.6¢	5.0¢	-$85
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$626	4.2¢	3.6¢	-$89
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$408	2.9¢	1.8¢	-$163
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$406	2.5¢	1.4¢	-$185
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Politics	Yes	$129	13¢	11¢	-$17
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Politics	Yes	$75	7.3¢	6.2¢	-$12
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics	Yes	$21	3.3¢	9.7¢	+$40
Blue wave in 2026?Politics	No	$53	21¢	22¢	+$2
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Politics	Yes	$22	35¢	31¢	-$3
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics	Yes	$7	3.5¢	3.4¢	-$0
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?Politics	YesResolved	$628	45¢	0.0¢	-$628
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$125	42¢	0.0¢	-$125
Thunder vs. SpursNBA	ThunderResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Lions vs. EaglesNFL	LionsResolved	$14	44¢	0.0¢	-$14
Broncos vs. EaglesNFL	EaglesResolved	$146	66¢	0.0¢	-$146
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?Politics	YesResolved	$941	18¢	0.0¢	-$941
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5World Cup	OverResolved	$33	33¢	0.0¢	-$33

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$18K

NFL+$615

Culture-$202

World Cup+$159

Other sports-$92

Mentions-$66

NBA-$1

Boxing+$0

Biggest hit

+$17K

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Toughest beat

-$30K

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154

Recent moves

Bought No · Blue wave in 2026?$24d ago
Sold No · Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$04d ago
Sold Yes · Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$24d ago
Sold No · Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$04d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?$514d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?$1314d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$115d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$515d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$115d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?$815d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$1015d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$415d ago