← Whale Watch

LazarilloDTormes

Predicting since May 2025524 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$510¢10¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$62.2¢1.3¢-$2
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsBasketball (other)Nevada Wolf PackResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-27?Soccer (other)YesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$1342¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ETCryptoUpResolved$930¢0.0¢-$9
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-04?Soccer (other)YesResolved$921¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
Will CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?PoliticsYesResolved$1119¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" in Corpus Christi on Friday?MentionsYesResolved$63.5¢0.0¢-$6
Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 7.5NHLUnderResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ETCryptoUpResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?Soccer (other)YesResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?La LigaYesResolved$1749¢0.0¢-$17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$99.8¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$415¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1619¢0.0¢-$16
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$915¢0.0¢-$9
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$318¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: CF América (-2.5)Soccer (other)CF AméricaResolved$729¢0.0¢-$7
Solana Up or Down - November 29, 7AM ETCryptoUpResolved$254¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?CryptoYesResolved$24.5¢0.0¢-$2
Giants vs. RockiesMLBRockiesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-25?Soccer (other)YesResolved$3459¢0.0¢-$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3PM ETCryptoDownResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured today?PoliticsYesResolved$726¢0.0¢-$7
XRP Up or Down - November 29, 6AM ETCryptoDownResolved$125.2¢0.0¢-$12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 14 at 5 PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-09?Soccer (other)YesResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Yankees vs. Red SoxMLBYankeesResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?Premier LeagueYesResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Kings (-1.5)NHLIslandersResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Blue Jays vs. PhilliesMLBBlue JaysResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Rays vs. MetsMLBMetsResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3AM ETCryptoDownResolved$423¢0.0¢-$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 14 at 5 PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will Querétaro FC vs. CF América end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$617¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$433¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$90.6¢0.0¢-$9
Solana Up or Down - November 29, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$65.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$927¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-01?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1044¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1126¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7 PM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$91.6¢0.0¢-$9
Germany leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$1241¢0.0¢-$12
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Israel strike on Iran on June 14?PoliticsNoResolved$223.4¢0.0¢-$22
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Soccer (other)Al Nassr Saudi ClubResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?MentionsNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 8?CryptoYesResolved$22.9¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6PM ETCryptoDownResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bulls vs. BucksNBABullsResolved$322¢0.0¢-$3
Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)Central Coast Mariners FCResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Maple Leafs vs. RangersNHLMaple LeafsResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - November 29, 10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$346¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1238¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-27?Soccer (other)YesResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?PoliticsYesResolved$106.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$60.1¢0.0¢-$6
Lakers vs. SunsNBALakersResolved$627¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$86.8¢0.0¢-$8
XRP Up or Down - November 29, 2PM ETCryptoUpResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-03-01?Soccer (other)YesResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?WeatherYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Soccer (other)CF Cruz AzulResolved$1962¢0.0¢-$19
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-02-28?MLSYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 2PM ETCryptoUpResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 1AM ETCryptoDownResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-07?Soccer (other)YesResolved$939¢0.0¢-$9
Will Lone'er Kavanagh win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMAYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Atlas FC win on 2025-11-07?Soccer (other)YesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-07?Soccer (other)YesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-03-01?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Kings vs. MavericksNBAMavericksResolved$2628¢0.0¢-$26

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$302
Crypto-$138
Mentions-$73
Soccer (other)+$55
NHL-$54
Basketball (other)-$39
Bundesliga+$37
Champions League+$36
World Cup+$35
Premier League-$30
UFC / MMA-$30
NBA-$27
Biggest hit
+$328
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$19
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$55m ago
  • Bought Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-26? AND Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-26? AND Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-26?$36m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$216m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$49h ago
  • Bought Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?$2814d ago
  • Bought Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$71mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$101mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$41mo ago
  • Bought Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$71mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Germany leading at halftime?$121mo ago
  • Bought Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$51mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 3 Mexico?$401mo ago