← Whale Watch

garbagecollect4

Predicting since Mar 202622,685 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Weather markets since Mar 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$1884¢87¢+$1
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Mac revenue be above $9.5B?FinanceNo$1684¢91¢+$1
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureNo$1589¢94¢+$1
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by July 31?FinanceNo$1683¢82¢-$0
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$1683¢82¢-$0
Will Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$1682¢77¢-$1
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNo$1381¢76¢-$1
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by July 31?FinanceNo$1586¢69¢-$3
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$1588¢71¢-$3
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89%-90.5%?FinanceNo$1581¢63¢-$3
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1180¢77¢-$0
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?EconomyNo$1285¢76¢-$1
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$986¢92¢+$1
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of July?FinanceYes$983¢90¢+$1
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$985¢90¢+$1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?FinanceNo$984¢89¢+$1
Will TJ Rumfield win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBNo$988¢97¢+$1
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?FinanceNo$981¢88¢+$1
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1082¢79¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 27?WeatherNo$981¢87¢+$1
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$983¢85¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?PoliticsNo$981¢84¢+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 26?WeatherNo$982¢84¢+$0
Will Maryland Whipsnakes be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?Other sportsNo$986¢91¢+$1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 27?WeatherNo$988¢91¢+$0
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$979¢79¢-$0
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$988¢87¢-$0
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$980¢79¢-$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$983¢83¢-$0
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?CultureNo$878¢79¢+$0
Will MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31?CultureNo$876¢84¢+$1
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$870¢75¢+$1
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?PoliticsNo$876¢81¢+$1
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?TechYes$1586¢45¢-$7
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?PoliticsNo$774¢84¢+$1
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$872¢72¢-$0
Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$871¢72¢+$0
Will a Player Pick Teemo in a Tier 1 League/Event this Year?eSportsNo$879¢78¢-$0
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?TechYes$871¢69¢-$0
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?PoliticsNo$786¢95¢+$1
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$871¢67¢-$0
Will Corning (GLW) Q2 Optical Communications sales be above $1.8B?FinanceYes$786¢91¢+$0
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoYes$878¢73¢-$1
Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$773¢76¢+$0
Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5%-12.5%?FinanceNo$774¢70¢-$0
Will Boston Cannons be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?Other sportsNo$682¢89¢+$1
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?OtherYes$981¢62¢-$2
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?TechNo$683¢87¢+$0
Will Karim Bouamrane win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsNo$685¢95¢+$1
Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?Soccer (other)No$684¢91¢+$0
Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.3M?FinanceYes$675¢76¢+$0
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsNo$685¢88¢+$0
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$785¢71¢-$1
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechNo$563¢73¢+$1
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$586¢88¢+$0
Will 52 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?PoliticsNo$675¢62¢-$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?PoliticsNo$576¢85¢+$1
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0050 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$581¢85¢+$0
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$589¢92¢+$0
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026?CultureYes$871¢45¢-$3
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?CryptoNo$575¢83¢+$0
Will Blake Butera win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?MLBNo$472¢82¢+$1
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsNo$485¢99¢+$1
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?CryptoNo$582¢86¢+$0
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$575¢80¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 26?WeatherNo$477¢100¢+$1
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?PoliticsYes$370¢98¢+$1
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?TechYes$473¢96¢+$1
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$473¢78¢+$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$472¢78¢+$0
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?WeatherNo$472¢77¢+$0
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$475¢96¢+$1
Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?MLBU 78.5$471¢81¢+$1
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$367¢99¢+$2
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$480¢96¢+$1
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?PoliticsNo$577¢66¢-$1
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$479¢97¢+$1
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?PoliticsNo$476¢94¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$487¢89¢+$0
Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?Other sportsYes$1082¢37¢-$5
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?TechNo$474¢74¢+$0
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026?TechNo$477¢91¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$481¢94¢+$1
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$473¢73¢+$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by July 31?FinanceNo$481¢99¢+$1
GHO depeg by December 31?CryptoNo$478¢95¢+$1
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?PoliticsYes$576¢72¢-$0
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$472¢72¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$378¢98¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 26?WeatherYes$478¢94¢+$1
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?PoliticsNo$479¢91¢+$1
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?FinanceNo$478¢93¢+$1
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?PoliticsNo$486¢88¢+$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other)No$479¢88¢+$0
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?TechNo$485¢85¢+$0
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #1 US song this week?CultureNo$577¢69¢-$0
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?WeatherNo$576¢69¢-$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?CryptoYes$366¢98¢+$1
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$478¢83¢+$0
Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$482¢79¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$1.2K
Crypto-$407
Finance-$338
Mentions-$222
World Cup-$149
Politics-$131
Culture-$67
Tech-$56
Golf-$51
MLB-$34
eSports-$23
Economy-$21
Biggest hit
+$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Toughest beat
-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$11m ago
  • Bought No · Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?$62m ago
  • Sold No · Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?$113m ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 26?$95m ago
  • Bought No · Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?$914m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of July?$1120m ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$522m ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 27?$932m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26?$548m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?$449m ago
  • Bought No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?$955m ago
  • Bought No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?$51h ago