oilstud

Predicting since Jul 202620 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Politics	No	$46	46¢	98¢	+$53
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech	Yes	$15	20¢	71¢	+$39
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026?Politics	No	$17	48¢	82¢	+$12
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$14	8.4¢	17¢	+$13
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech	Yes	$20	48¢	43¢	-$2
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by August 31, 2026?Tech	No	$7	55¢	78¢	+$3
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech	No	$6	39¢	63¢	+$4
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 27, 2026?Politics	No	$2	16¢	65¢	+$7
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Politics	No	$3	43¢	84¢	+$3
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 19, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	12¢	61¢	+$3
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 19, 2026?Politics	No	$2	26¢	40¢	+$1
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Tech	Yes	$3	39¢	42¢	+$0
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Politics	No	$1	15¢	37¢	+$2
Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics	Yes	$3	25¢	18¢	-$1
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Politics	No	$1	10¢	28¢	+$1
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$6	6.1¢	1.8¢	-$4
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics	Yes	$0	5.0¢	14¢	+$1
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech	No	$0	14¢	52¢	+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$143

Tech+$46

Biggest hit

+$53

Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$2

Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?$01h ago
Bought No · Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?$31h ago
Bought No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?$32h ago
Bought No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?$42h ago
Bought No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?$52h ago
Bought No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?$22h ago
Bought No · Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026?$122h ago
Bought No · Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026?$42h ago
Bought Yes · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?$06h ago
Bought No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?$18h ago
Bought No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?$08h ago
Bought Yes · Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?$68h ago