← Whale Watch

muddyrc

Predicting since Nov 2025907 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $19K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $2.4K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?.

Biggest hit: +$5.2K on Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1.3K92¢96¢+$56
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? CryptoNo$87265¢87¢+$287
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$1.1K92¢94¢+$25
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$67384¢96¢+$98
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoYes$51464¢77¢+$102
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?CryptoYes$78055¢41¢-$194
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$38095¢100¢+$19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$33740¢34¢-$53
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$24983¢93¢+$29
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18361¢87¢+$78
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$22986¢91¢+$14
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$15477¢85¢+$15
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$33055¢27¢-$168
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$66028¢6.5¢-$506
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$10653¢70¢+$34
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$15276¢56¢-$41
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$9465¢53¢-$18
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3042¢70¢+$20
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsYes$6852¢17¢-$46
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$7634¢2.2¢-$71
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$35030¢0.0¢-$350
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$27027¢0.0¢-$270
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$36024¢0.0¢-$360
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$151.5¢0.0¢-$15
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$17034¢0.0¢-$170
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$57226¢0.0¢-$572
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$5217¢0.0¢-$52
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$11457¢0.0¢-$114
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April?EconomyYesResolved$61.5¢0.0¢-$6
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$29024¢0.0¢-$290
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$33022¢0.0¢-$330
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$22416¢0.0¢-$224
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$59826¢0.0¢-$598
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$9933¢0.0¢-$99
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2010¢0.0¢-$20
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$33333¢0.0¢-$333
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$20525¢0.0¢-$205
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$84028¢0.0¢-$840
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$32723¢0.0¢-$327
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3514¢0.0¢-$35
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudTennisJenson BrooksbyResolved$15531¢0.0¢-$155
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2424¢0.0¢-$24
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$30030¢0.0¢-$300
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$8517¢0.0¢-$85
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$98031¢0.0¢-$980
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$68655¢0.0¢-$686
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$24024¢0.0¢-$240
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$4848¢0.0¢-$48
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$20033¢0.0¢-$200
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$30030¢0.0¢-$300
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$707.0¢0.0¢-$70
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$5062¢0.0¢-$50
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$6321¢0.0¢-$63
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoWorld CupRonaldoResolved$23539¢0.0¢-$235
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?EconomyYesResolved$686.9¢0.0¢-$68
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3529¢0.0¢-$35
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsWorld CupYesResolved$2971¢0.0¢-$29
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$24431¢0.0¢-$244
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$22011¢0.0¢-$220
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$40020¢0.0¢-$400
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$3618¢0.0¢-$36
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$31031¢0.0¢-$310
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$5058¢0.0¢-$50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$2.4K47¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$92023¢0.0¢-$920
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1.1K28¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$23023¢0.0¢-$230
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$11546¢0.0¢-$115
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$22022¢0.0¢-$220
Will France vs. England end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$7525¢0.0¢-$75
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$26026¢0.0¢-$260
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$19628¢0.0¢-$196
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$7826¢0.0¢-$78
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$1812¢0.0¢-$18

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$19K
World Cup+$6.1K
Crypto+$1.1K
Premier League-$422
Economy+$416
Champions League+$278
Tech+$252
Soccer (other)-$179
Tennis-$177
Boxing+$63
Mentions+$54
Culture-$52
Biggest hit
+$5.2K
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.4K
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$6451d ago
  • Sold No · Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$194d ago
  • Sold No · Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$254d ago
  • Sold No · Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$394d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?$25d ago
  • Bought No · Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$3085d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.0K6d ago
  • Cashed out Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2006d ago
  • Bought Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1496d ago
  • Bought Yes · Lionel Messi: 1+ shots$36d ago
  • Bought Yes · Lionel Messi: 1+ shots$106d ago