← Whale Watch

0xdamocles

Predicting since Nov 2025228 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $83K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $47K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$10K on No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$47K93¢99¢+$3.2K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$38K85¢96¢+$4.5K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$27K87¢99¢+$3.8K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$8.8K68¢93¢+$3.2K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11K88¢91¢+$313
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$10K90¢86¢-$501
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.2K83¢98¢+$745
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.9K93¢93¢-$6
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$903.0¢86¢+$2.5K
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$1.9K68¢74¢+$163
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$74580¢99¢+$176
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$18742¢79¢+$165
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$27579¢89¢+$35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$29480¢80¢-$3
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20095¢99¢+$9
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$1619¢21¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$83K
Crypto+$12K
Culture-$2.2K
Tech+$1.8K
World Cup+$455
Mentions-$390
Economy+$153
Other sports-$100
Boxing+$100
Tennis-$96
Premier League+$70
Soccer (other)+$61
Biggest hit
+$10K
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$9.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$81d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$51d ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1951d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1791d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$241d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$4.2K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$5582d ago