0xdamocles

Predicting since Nov 2025256 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $72K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $38K riding on Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$10K on No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics	No	$38K	85¢	97¢	+$5.1K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics	No	$8.8K	68¢	96¢	+$3.6K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$13K	86¢	86¢	-$73
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$12K	82¢	83¢	+$81
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$11K	88¢	95¢	+$813
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$10K	90¢	95¢	+$551
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics	No	$7.1K	94¢	99¢	+$353
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$6.4K	62¢	18¢	-$4.6K
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$378	88¢	89¢	+$2
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics	No	$187	42¢	66¢	+$105
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?Politics	YesResolved	$228	73¢	0.0¢	-$228
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?Politics	NoResolved	$140	78¢	0.0¢	-$140
Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?Other sports	YesResolved	$44	39¢	0.0¢	-$44
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2.3K	90¢	0.0¢	-$2.3K
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Other sports	YesResolved	$192	24¢	0.0¢	-$192
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$30	22¢	0.0¢	-$30
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Politics	YesResolved	$3.9K	78¢	0.0¢	-$3.9K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$72K

Crypto+$12K

Culture-$2.2K

World Cup+$455

Mentions-$390

Economy+$153

Other sports-$134

Boxing+$100

Tennis-$96

Premier League+$70

Soccer (other)+$61

UFC / MMA-$10

Biggest hit

+$10K

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$9.6K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Recent moves

Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$05d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$1945d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$12K5d ago
Cashed out No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$12K6d ago
Bought Yes · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?$3807d ago
Cashed out No · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$08d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$18d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?$3011d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?$4.7K11d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?$2.4K11d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$35011d ago
Sold No · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$1213d ago