Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $774 | 17¢ | 10¢ | -$313 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $640 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$216 |
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $251 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$20 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $140 | 25¢ | 37¢ | +$64 |
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $281 | 8.5¢ | 5.0¢ | -$117 |
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | Yes | $112 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$30 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $81 | 5.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$40 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Tech | Yes | $232 | 6.2¢ | 3.0¢ | -$119 |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech | No | $131 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$19 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 12¢ | 49¢ | +$75 |
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | Yes | $163 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$85 |
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$19 |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $209 | 27¢ | 8.5¢ | -$143 |
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 15¢ | 19¢ | +$12 |
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 23¢ | 87¢ | +$41 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $265 | 22¢ | 4.5¢ | -$210 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $42 | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$11 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | No | $40 | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$6 |
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $43 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics | Yes | $53 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$12 |
Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?Culture | Yes | $11 | 7.9¢ | 23¢ | +$20 |
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $31 | 3.2¢ | 3.1¢ | -$1 |
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?Politics | No | $90 | 15¢ | 4.9¢ | -$60 |
Will Abdelilah Benkirane be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.0¢ | 16¢ | +$24 |
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 8.4¢ | 6.0¢ | -$11 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Tech | Yes | $31 | 5.1¢ | 2.4¢ | -$17 |
Will Cyprus win Junior Eurovision 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.6¢ | 17¢ | +$11 |
Will North Macedonia win Junior Eurovision 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ | 20¢ | +$8 |
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Politics | Yes | $128 | 15¢ | 0.7¢ | -$123 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 24¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | 3.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $1 | 26¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 1.7¢ | -$0 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 10-13%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 10.0¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.5¢ | 6.3¢ | +$1 |
Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$1 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 29¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $68 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Politics | NoResolved | $28 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Will there be exactly 1 major space weather event this week?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $198 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
Will Denmark Democrats win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | YesResolved | $94 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 20%+?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will "Yes" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by 6–9%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?Tech | YesResolved | $160 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 5 and 10 minutes long?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be less than 5%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Ed Miliband be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Politics | NoResolved | $49 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by less than 10%?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Paloma Valencia place 1st in Bogotá?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $201 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$201 |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $74 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | YesResolved | $103 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
Will SPD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | YesResolved | $103 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Politics | UnderResolved | $26 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Monokate win Vidbir 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $72 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $75 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?World Cup | NoResolved | $28 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Moderates win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Tech | NoResolved | $39 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $34 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics | YesResolved | $129 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$129 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $204 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$204 |
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $34 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |