← Whale Watch

fiter

Predicting since Sep 20251,945 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $32K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $677 across 11 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.3K on Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$720.4¢3.0¢+$440
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$362.9¢27¢+$301
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$395.3¢35¢+$212
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$147.0¢92¢+$169
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$143.1¢38¢+$156
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$7612¢25¢+$83
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1010.7¢1.1¢+$51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$444.9¢17¢+$105
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$16110¢8.5¢-$30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$8511¢17¢+$41
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$808.4¢12¢+$35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$7011¢18¢+$43
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsYes$6520¢35¢+$49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$493.1¢7.0¢+$62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$9413¢16¢+$14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$667.3¢11¢+$36
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$956.2¢6.5¢+$5
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$270.9¢3.1¢+$71
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8020¢24¢+$14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$217.0¢31¢+$73
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$1350.8¢0.5¢-$45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$1029.8¢8.5¢-$13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$30.3¢8.1¢+$84
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$8015¢15¢+$3
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$390.7¢1.5¢+$40
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$110.2¢1.1¢+$64
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$5221¢30¢+$21
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$53.3¢49¢+$68
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1470.7¢0.4¢-$74
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$281.6¢4.2¢+$44
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$651.8¢1.9¢+$6
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1491.4¢0.7¢-$80
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1010¢69¢+$59
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7515¢14¢-$7
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2020¢67¢+$47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$7020¢19¢-$5
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1010¢64¢+$54
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$864.5¢3.4¢-$22
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$929.7¢6.5¢-$31
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsYes$4020¢31¢+$21
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$310.7¢1.3¢+$28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2510¢24¢+$34
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1000.8¢0.4¢-$41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$150.2¢0.9¢+$44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$4020¢29¢+$18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$180.4¢1.1¢+$38
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$760.6¢0.4¢-$20
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$543.4¢3.5¢+$1
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$4110¢14¢+$14
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$400.9¢1.3¢+$15
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsYes$673.9¢3.1¢-$13
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$551.5¢1.5¢-$1
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$381.1¢1.6¢+$15
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$7112¢9.0¢-$20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$155.1¢17¢+$36
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$291.8¢3.1¢+$22
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$616.7¢5.5¢-$11
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$3221¢31¢+$14
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$361.4¢1.8¢+$10
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1206.7¢2.4¢-$76
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$4020¢22¢+$3
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$743.0¢1.8¢-$32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsNo$513.2¢2.5¢-$11
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$3612¢13¢+$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$385.4¢5.5¢+$1
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$110.3¢1.1¢+$28
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$202.0¢3.8¢+$18
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1544.5¢1.1¢-$116
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$191.4¢2.9¢+$19
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$440.3¢0.3¢-$7
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$511.0¢0.8¢-$14
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$404.2¢4.0¢-$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsYes$6814¢7.5¢-$30
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$340.2¢0.3¢+$4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$40.1¢1.3¢+$33
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.6¢0.5¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$3012¢14¢+$6
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$342.6¢2.7¢+$2
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$862.8¢1.1¢-$51
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$200.2¢0.4¢+$15
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$280.3¢0.4¢+$7
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsYes$344.1¢4.2¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsYes$1403.8¢0.9¢-$105
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$341.7¢1.7¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7013¢6.0¢-$37
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$2811¢13¢+$5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$391.3¢1.1¢-$8
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$83.0¢12¢+$23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$393.4¢2.6¢-$9
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$530.3¢0.1¢-$23
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$711.4¢0.6¢-$41
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$192.2¢3.5¢+$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsNo$556.5¢3.5¢-$26
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1514.4¢0.9¢-$121
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$460.7¢0.4¢-$17
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$250.1¢0.1¢+$4
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$8020¢7.2¢-$51
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$670.3¢0.1¢-$38
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?PoliticsYes$2510¢12¢+$4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$306.0¢5.8¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$32K
Tech+$1.0K
Crypto+$921
Golf+$711
Finance+$554
NFL+$373
Economy+$259
Culture+$248
Weather+$219
NBA+$193
World Cup-$92
Mentions-$74
Biggest hit
+$3.3K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$244
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$04m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1124m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$324m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$324m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1025m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?$055m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$411h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$41h ago