 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 51¢ | 92¢ | +$34 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $9 | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $14 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $11 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 62¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 39¢ | +$2 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $6 | 62¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $6 | 56¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 72¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $4 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 50¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 53¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $3 | 60¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $4 | 44¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $6 | 61¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $3 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $4 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 8.5¢ | -$12 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 54¢ | 26¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 41¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.2¢ | 8.6¢ | +$1 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $23 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |