← Whale Watch

YouSayUpISayDown

Predicting since Apr 20264,140 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $13K on Crypto markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $830 riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?PoliticsNo$11390¢95¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-51 House seat?PoliticsNo$687.0¢6.5¢-$5
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$5660¢46¢-$14
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$4444¢40¢-$5
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?EconomyNo$4287¢75¢-$6
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?PoliticsNo$2814¢14¢-$1
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$2998¢86¢-$4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3224¢19¢-$7
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$2791¢82¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$2395¢97¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?PoliticsNo$288.0¢6.5¢-$5
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2424¢22¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2093¢96¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$2928¢18¢-$11
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$2727¢18¢-$10
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsNo$1720¢20¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1515¢14¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1455¢49¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$1453¢48¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$1415¢12¢-$3
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$3618¢5.5¢-$25
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?PoliticsNo$1212¢11¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$1212¢11¢-$2
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?PoliticsNo$928¢28¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$1212¢8.0¢-$4
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$87.9¢7.7¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$109.7¢7.5¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$88.0¢7.5¢-$1
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$1160¢38¢-$4
Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?PoliticsNo$794¢95¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$1211¢6.5¢-$5
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢6.8¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢6.5¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢6.5¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$88.0¢6.5¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$88.0¢6.5¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢6.5¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the MO-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢6.5¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢6.5¢-$1
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?CultureNo$711¢11¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$77.0¢5.5¢-$2
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$2211¢2.6¢-$17
Will the Republican Party win the NE-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$66.0¢5.5¢-$0
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$54.5¢5.1¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$66.0¢5.0¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$12520¢0.7¢-$121
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?PoliticsYes$13.1¢14¢+$3
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR?PoliticsYes$13.1¢14¢+$3
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?PoliticsNo$66.0¢3.4¢-$3
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$328¢28¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$12520¢0.4¢-$123
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$3334¢2.7¢-$31
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$26.0¢5.5¢-$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$243¢43¢+$0
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsNo$222¢14¢-$1
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsNo$026¢96¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$150¢43¢-$0
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureNo$182¢86¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$1117¢0.0¢-$11
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5770¢0.0¢-$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$9965¢0.0¢-$99
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$749¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$49.1¢0.0¢-$4
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$7655¢0.0¢-$76
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2137¢0.0¢-$21
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$183.8¢0.0¢-$18
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$153.6¢0.0¢-$15
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$471¢0.0¢-$4
Will Mathis Preston be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?NHLYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
Will Will Quaintance be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?NBAYesResolved$22.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$60627¢0.0¢-$606
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$443¢0.0¢-$4
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 7?WeatherYesResolved$39.1¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$471¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1171¢0.0¢-$11
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 4?WeatherYesResolved$79.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$253.3¢0.0¢-$25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$171.7¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2819¢0.0¢-$28
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?NBANoResolved$43.4¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 11?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1843¢0.0¢-$18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$272¢0.0¢-$2
Will Jelena Ostapenko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1459¢0.0¢-$14
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$133.8¢0.0¢-$13
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?WeatherNoResolved$46.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$133.8¢0.0¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 7?WeatherYesResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?PoliticsYesResolved$2211¢0.0¢-$22
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$13K
World Cup-$1.3K
Politics-$722
NBA-$503
Weather-$367
Economy-$109
Tennis+$100
MLB-$67
Culture-$51
eSports-$45
Formula 1-$38
NHL-$9
Biggest hit
+$1.2K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Toughest beat
-$781
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Up · Solana Up or Down - July 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1139m ago
  • Bought Up · Solana Up or Down - July 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1040m ago
  • Bought Down · Solana Up or Down - July 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$140m ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$841h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$11h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$31h ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$221h ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$291h ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$331h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$22h ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$122h ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$112h ago