← Whale Watch

MrMarket

Predicting since May 2024657 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $21K on NFL markets since May 2024.

Right now: $15K riding on Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$16K on Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$15K88¢93¢+$861
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$13K63¢67¢+$629
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.7K8.4¢14¢+$2.4K
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9.6K2.4¢1.1¢-$5.0K
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.0K1.4¢2.1¢+$889
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2.2K45¢44¢-$73
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1.8K36¢41¢+$202
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K87¢94¢+$153
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.1K3.5¢5.1¢+$505
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$1.1K77¢88¢+$159
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$2.0K6.6¢4.3¢-$712
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1.1K82¢95¢+$176
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$22812¢64¢+$936
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.1K1.0¢0.9¢-$57
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$67460¢77¢+$190
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$69381¢95¢+$112
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.2K2.3¢1.6¢-$383
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsYes$68821¢20¢-$42
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherNo$40449¢74¢+$202
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsNo$50382¢89¢+$40
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$5103.9¢4.0¢+$12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$66025¢20¢-$145
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.5K1.4¢0.4¢-$1.0K
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherNo$39475¢91¢+$80
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsNo$47094¢94¢+$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3135.4¢8.1¢+$153
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3704.2¢5.1¢+$71
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K21¢5.5¢-$1.2K
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$33586¢97¢+$43
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$10019¢69¢+$256
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?PoliticsNo$33391¢98¢+$23
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$40017¢14¢-$66
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3692.4¢2.1¢-$37
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$22762¢86¢+$86
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$29320¢20¢-$3
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16455¢88¢+$100
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$420.7¢3.8¢+$177
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2202.6¢2.4¢-$23
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4312.2¢0.9¢-$244
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13474¢93¢+$34
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?FinanceNo$16090¢94¢+$7
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$50164¢21¢-$341
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?PoliticsNo$14991¢96¢+$7
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2121.1¢0.8¢-$68
Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$12597¢98¢+$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyYes$17321¢16¢-$48
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2181.7¢0.9¢-$98
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$21070¢38¢-$98
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1711.1¢0.7¢-$66
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$250.2¢1.1¢+$80
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?PoliticsNo$9292¢96¢+$4
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$9078¢81¢+$3
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$5121¢36¢+$35
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$13313¢8.0¢-$49
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$6017¢24¢+$23
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?PoliticsNo$7991¢95¢+$3
Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?FinanceNo$8787¢75¢-$12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherYes$11035¢23¢-$39
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$23143¢12¢-$166
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$40422¢3.2¢-$345
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?PoliticsYes$7212¢9.5¢-$15
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$661.6¢1.1¢-$17
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$3387¢94¢+$3
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$6265¢38¢-$26
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$600.6¢0.4¢-$25
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$16275¢16¢-$127
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsYes$2630¢39¢+$7
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$2685¢96¢+$3
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$2479¢94¢+$4
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$344.2¢3.4¢-$7
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$323.2¢2.8¢-$5
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?PoliticsYes$4853¢28¢-$22
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$159.5¢16¢+$10
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2077¢93¢+$4
Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsNo$3068¢51¢-$7
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$10.3¢4.7¢+$19
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$120.5¢0.8¢+$7
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?PoliticsYes$223.5¢3.1¢-$2
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$27819¢1.2¢-$260
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$401.3¢0.4¢-$26
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?PoliticsNo$1470¢69¢-$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$501.3¢0.4¢-$37
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$1416¢14¢-$1
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechYes$3321¢7.0¢-$22
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?PoliticsYes$1011¢13¢+$1
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$510¢21¢+$6
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$469.0¢1.7¢-$37
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$10.4¢3.7¢+$7
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$41.9¢3.8¢+$4
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechYes$9745¢3.4¢-$90
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$1451¢26¢-$7
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$90.2¢0.1¢-$2
Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?FinanceNo$332¢57¢+$3
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$50.2¢0.3¢+$1
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$869¢48¢-$3
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10.8¢5.3¢+$5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$20.8¢2.4¢+$3
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$20.8¢2.3¢+$3
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsNo$5077¢6.0¢-$46
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10.8¢3.1¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NFL+$21K
Politics-$11K
World Cup-$9.8K
Economy+$2.4K
Finance-$2.0K
Basketball (other)-$859
Crypto-$670
Mentions-$647
Weather-$532
Culture-$247
Tech+$169
Other+$24
Biggest hit
+$16K
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Toughest beat
-$4.0K
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$04h ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$19h ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?$19h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?$09h ago
  • Bought No · Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$589h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$41d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$191d ago