 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Syria strikes Israel by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will France win the UEFA Women's Euro?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $33 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Dorothy Semu win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $80 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US add more than 200k jobs in July?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $12 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will China win Intervision 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?Tennis | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $50 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $34 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Spain first?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will India win Intervision 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $51 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alessandro Tomasi win Tuscany Regional Election?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?Economy | YesResolved | $42 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Akere Muna win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?Economy | YesResolved | $37 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $10 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $13 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Francesco Toscano win Calabria Regional Election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Economy | YesResolved | $18 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Peru first?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy Soccer (other) | PSG Resolved | $15 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will Azruddin Mohamed win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Politics | NoResolved | $144 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics | YesResolved | $79 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Cashed out No · Will Obama endorse Mamdani?$08mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$459mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?$69mo ago
Sold Yes · US recession in 2025?$109mo ago
Sold Yes · Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$229mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$09mo ago