Fredl

Predicting since Jan 202654 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$300	26¢	21¢	-$61
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$12	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$12
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$30	13¢	0.0¢	-$30
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$28	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$28
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$204	26¢	0.0¢	-$204
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$11	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?Politics	YesResolved	$100	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$126	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$126
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	26¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$170	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$170
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$110	12¢	0.0¢	-$110
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?Crypto	NoResolved	$10	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics	NoResolved	$10	31¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$24	26¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$15	15¢	0.0¢	-$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Politics	NoResolved	$380	22¢	0.0¢	-$380
Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics	NoResolved	$5	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Politics	YesResolved	$100	36¢	0.0¢	-$100
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$96	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$96

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$966

Soccer (other)-$24

Crypto-$10

Biggest hit

+$1.1K

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Toughest beat

-$292

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?$253mo ago
Sold Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?$83mo ago
Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by April 30?$163mo ago
Bought No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$2803mo ago
Sold Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$813mo ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2003mo ago
Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?$964mo ago
Sold Yes · US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$354mo ago
Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by March 31?$244mo ago
Sold Yes · Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$384mo ago
Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1164mo ago
Sold Yes · Kurds declare independence from Iran?$774mo ago