← Whale Watch

nonc

Predicting since Dec 202567 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?TechYes$516¢85¢+$21
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechNo$680¢90¢+$1
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?TechYes$582¢69¢-$1
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$126¢85¢+$2
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$250¢74¢+$1
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$281¢84¢+$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$639¢12¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$155¢99¢+$1
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?PoliticsNo$161¢82¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$172¢89¢+$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?TechYesResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$324¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$27
Economy-$6
Politics+$6
World Cup+$3
Weather-$1
Culture-$0
Biggest hit
+$7
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$310d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$210d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$313d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$117d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$119d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$119d ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$219d ago
  • Bought Up · Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?$120d ago
  • Bought Yes · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$120d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$120d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$125d ago