 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 42¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 61¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 46¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1 | 50¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $1 | 35¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $1 | 32¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $1 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Economy | Up | $1 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $1 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Cashed out No · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?$13d ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$33d ago
Cashed out No · Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$25d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$15d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$18d ago
Cashed out Yes · Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?$19d ago
Bought No · NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?$19d ago