arepita

Predicting since May 2025106 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US forces in Venezuela by September 30?Politics	YesResolved	$10	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Politics	NoResolved	$5	47¢	0.0¢	-$5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	53¢	0.0¢	-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	47¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	33¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will India invade Pakistan before July?Politics	YesResolved	$5	15¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$4	30¢	0.0¢	-$4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?Politics	YesResolved	$5	29¢	0.0¢	-$5
Maduro out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$12	13¢	0.0¢	-$12
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$14	28¢	0.0¢	-$14
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Politics	YesResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1
US government shutdown in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$8	46¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	26¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Boca Juniors win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	25¢	0.0¢	-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	16¢	0.0¢	-$5
Iran leadership change by March 13?Politics	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran strike on Israel in June?Politics	NoResolved	$5	10¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1	YesResolved	$5	28¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will US leave NATO by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$138

Tech-$39

Formula 1+$20

Champions League+$15

Other sports+$11

Premier League-$10

Soccer (other)+$8

Crypto-$5

Economy-$5

Culture-$4

Weather+$2

Biggest hit

+$76

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Toughest beat

-$39

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$41mo ago
Sold No · Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1031mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1551mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$81mo ago
Sold Yes · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$41mo ago
Sold Yes · Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$51mo ago
Sold Yes · Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?$261mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?$71mo ago
Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$41mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$21mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$21mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$21mo ago