← Whale Watch
ReasonableDoubt26
Right now: $1.0K across 4 Politics markets.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $103 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $189 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $434 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$434 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $301 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$301 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$433
Tech-$54
Crypto-$18
Finance+$3
Economy+$1
Biggest hit
+$181
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Recent moves
- Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$01mo ago
- Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$401mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$01mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$01mo ago
Sold No · Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$11mo ago
Sold No · Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$71mo ago
Sold Yes · UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$31mo ago
Sold Yes · Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$31mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$61mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$101mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$111mo ago- Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1501mo ago