← Whale Watch
AdrianCronauer
Up $222K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.
Right now: $4.8K across 2 Politics markets.
Biggest hit: +$88K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $4.8K | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.8K |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Politics | YesResolved | $250 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$222K
Finance+$3.8K
Biggest hit
+$88K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$168K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Recent moves
- Sold No · Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$9.7K3mo ago
Sold No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$13mo ago- Sold Yes · Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$13mo ago
Sold No · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$43mo ago- Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2633mo ago
Sold No · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3123mo ago
Sold No · Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$6623mo ago
Sold No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$9473mo ago
Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.5K3mo ago
Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.6K3mo ago- Bought No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$3193mo ago
- Bought No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$383mo ago