← Whale Watch

FridayNight

Predicting since Oct 20241,142 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $50K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $23K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$15K on Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? .

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?FinanceNoResolved$190.2¢0.0¢-$19
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffseSportsYellow SubmarineResolved$34452¢0.0¢-$344
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs MASQ (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group BeSportsMASQResolved$1436¢0.0¢-$14
Up Only podcast released by October 31?CryptoYesResolved$707.0¢0.0¢-$70
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$1.3K38¢0.0¢-$1.3K
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 WinnereSportsDorado GamingResolved$50463¢0.0¢-$504
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 WinnereSportsTop Esports ChallengerResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30939¢0.0¢-$309
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K85¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?PoliticsNoResolved$54468¢0.0¢-$544
Ducks vs. WildNHLDucksResolved$4532¢0.0¢-$45
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageeSportsTundra EsportsResolved$58473¢0.0¢-$584
Pelicans vs. HornetsNBAPelicansResolved$22428¢0.0¢-$224
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2eSportsDplus KIA ChallengersResolved$72060¢0.0¢-$720
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$126.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.9K82¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$27821¢0.0¢-$278
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$50465¢0.0¢-$504
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4500.3¢0.0¢-$450
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnereSportsEternal FireResolved$19076¢0.0¢-$190
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$6633¢0.0¢-$66
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2eSportsNongshim Red ForceResolved$17622¢0.0¢-$176
Will Chile win Miss Universe 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$43.7¢0.0¢-$4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffseSportsG2Resolved$95038¢0.0¢-$950
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$4.3K85¢0.0¢-$4.3K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$56070¢0.0¢-$560
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$544.5¢0.0¢-$54
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyYesResolved$23779¢0.0¢-$237
Will Chelley win Season 7 of Love Island USA?CultureYesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?CultureYesResolved$508.3¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?PoliticsYesResolved$4414.9¢0.0¢-$441
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26, 6-7am?CryptoYesResolved$303.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?World CupNoResolved$72060¢0.0¢-$720
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Baam Esports (BO3) - Arabian League PlayoffseSportsGnG AmazighResolved$24060¢0.0¢-$240
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4.2K55¢0.0¢-$4.2K
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$75015¢0.0¢-$750
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$4.8K55¢0.0¢-$4.8K
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K64¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$99430¢0.0¢-$994
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? CryptoYesResolved$11739¢0.0¢-$117
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.2K66¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1048.7¢0.0¢-$104
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnereSportsOh My GodResolved$33642¢0.0¢-$336
Spread: Heat (-3.5)NBAHeatResolved$52052¢0.0¢-$520
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?CultureYesResolved$8921¢0.0¢-$89
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$1.7K28¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?TechNoResolved$2807.0¢0.0¢-$280
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$2412¢0.0¢-$24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$1089.0¢0.0¢-$108
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?PoliticsNoResolved$26433¢0.0¢-$264
Spread: Suns (-3.5)NBATrail BlazersResolved$13554¢0.0¢-$135
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26, 11am-12pm?CryptoYesResolved$303.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Other sportsNoResolved$34546¢0.0¢-$345
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$14926¢0.0¢-$149
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?Other sportsNoResolved$8020¢0.0¢-$80
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?MLBYesResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?PoliticsYesResolved$1539.0¢0.0¢-$153
Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$2626¢0.0¢-$26
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?PoliticsYesResolved$114.6¢0.0¢-$11
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffseSportsINTZ e-SportsResolved$33667¢0.0¢-$336
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$7249.0¢0.0¢-$724
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$4.3K14¢0.0¢-$4.3K
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? CryptoYesResolved$10521¢0.0¢-$105
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$90036¢0.0¢-$900
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$9018¢0.0¢-$90
Magic vs. SpursNBAMagicResolved$32841¢0.0¢-$328
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$17487¢0.0¢-$174
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?World CupNoResolved$3.1K65¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Will another company be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$90018¢0.0¢-$900
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K40¢0.0¢-$1.7K
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 20?FinanceUpResolved$87397¢0.0¢-$873
Will Shayne say "Mention" during 60 Minutes?MentionsYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?PoliticsYesResolved$6024¢0.0¢-$60
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$15613¢0.0¢-$156
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$4509.0¢0.0¢-$450
Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K76¢0.0¢-$2.1K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.7K53¢0.0¢-$5.7K
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$13514¢0.0¢-$135
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52521¢0.0¢-$525
Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5NBAOverResolved$12851¢0.0¢-$128
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsNoResolved$30025¢0.0¢-$300
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by December 31?CultureYesResolved$18929¢0.0¢-$189
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K49¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$2259.0¢0.0¢-$225
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSportsKT RolsterResolved$18045¢0.0¢-$180
Will Satan make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?CultureYesResolved$29637¢0.0¢-$296
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$6015¢0.0¢-$60
Giants vs. PadresMLBPadresResolved$28056¢0.0¢-$280
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 WinnereSportsHANJIN BRION ChallengersResolved$18423¢0.0¢-$184
Will Huda win Season 7 of Love Island USA?CultureYesResolved$133.3¢0.0¢-$13
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$17759¢0.0¢-$177
Canadiens vs. LightningNHLLightningResolved$64854¢0.0¢-$648
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)NBARocketsResolved$1.3K50¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1427¢0.0¢-$14
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$2759.2¢0.0¢-$275
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3518¢0.0¢-$35
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$22262¢0.0¢-$222
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsMLBColorado RockiesResolved$7035¢0.0¢-$70

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$50K
Tech+$20K
Other sports-$9.2K
World Cup-$8.0K
eSports+$5.7K
Other+$4.3K
NBA-$3.3K
NFL+$3.3K
Finance-$2.3K
Basketball (other)-$2.3K
Culture+$2.2K
MLB+$1.8K
Biggest hit
+$15K
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$22K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth <12.5%?$217d ago
  • Bought No · Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth <12.5%?$11417d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1917d ago
  • Sold No · Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?$317d ago
  • Sold No · Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?$3117d ago
  • Bought No · Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?$1.1K17d ago
  • Sold No · Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?$45217d ago
  • Bought No · Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?$10K17d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2017d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.0K17d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.8K18d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$618d ago