← Whale Watch

FrenchFlair

Predicting since Oct 202557 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $34K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $7.8K riding on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on US forces enter Iran by March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$7.8K80¢95¢+$1.4K
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10237¢0.0¢-$102
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$30016¢0.0¢-$300
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2802.9¢0.0¢-$280
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K84¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$477.0¢0.0¢-$47
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$44398¢0.0¢-$443
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K5.7¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10822¢0.0¢-$108
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$23020¢0.0¢-$230
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?PoliticsNoResolved$1286¢0.0¢-$12

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$34K
Other sports+$65
Tech+$44
Biggest hit
+$1.5K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$26K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$017d ago
  • Sold No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.2K2mo ago
  • Sold No · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$12mo ago
  • Sold No · OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$42mo ago
  • Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3152mo ago
  • Sold No · Netanyahu out by June 30?$7742mo ago
  • Sold No · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.8K2mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.2K3mo ago
  • Sold SpaceX · Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$4083mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$8283mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.4K3mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$3.4K3mo ago