ciaospenis

Predicting since Oct 202433 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.1K on Tech markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $840 riding on When will the Government shutdown end? .

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	NoResolved	$175	5.9¢	0.0¢	-$175
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Crypto	YesResolved	$100	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$120	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$120
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Politics	YesResolved	$105	13¢	0.0¢	-$105
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$739	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$739
Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?Other	YesResolved	$40	20¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$78	30¢	0.0¢	-$78
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Politics	NoResolved	$350	65¢	0.0¢	-$350
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Politics	YesResolved	$840	7.5¢	0.0¢	-$840
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Crypto	YesResolved	$200	31¢	0.0¢	-$200
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$25	18¢	0.0¢	-$25
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?Politics	NoResolved	$200	33¢	0.0¢	-$200

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$1.1K

Crypto-$290

Economy-$97

Politics+$46

Other-$40

Mentions-$25

Biggest hit

+$1.8K

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Toughest beat

-$983

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Sold Yes · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$2375mo ago
Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2665mo ago
Bought No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3006mo ago
Bought Yes · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3006mo ago
Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$3276mo ago
Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$2.0K6mo ago
Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$9806mo ago
Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$6866mo ago
Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1186mo ago
Sold No · Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$126mo ago
Bought No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$2346mo ago
Bought No · Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$76mo ago