← Whale Watch

ciaospenis

Predicting since Oct 202433 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.1K on Tech markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $840 riding on When will the Government shutdown end? .

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$1755.9¢0.0¢-$175
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?CryptoYesResolved$1009.0¢0.0¢-$100
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1206.0¢0.0¢-$120
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?PoliticsYesResolved$10513¢0.0¢-$105
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$7392.3¢0.0¢-$739
Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?OtherYesResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$7830¢0.0¢-$78
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$35065¢0.0¢-$350
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$8407.5¢0.0¢-$840
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$20031¢0.0¢-$200
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?MentionsNoResolved$2518¢0.0¢-$25
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?PoliticsNoResolved$20033¢0.0¢-$200

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$1.1K
Crypto-$290
Economy-$97
Politics+$46
Other-$40
Mentions-$25
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$983
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$2373mo ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2663mo ago
  • Bought No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3004mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3004mo ago
  • Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$3274mo ago
  • Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$2.0K4mo ago
  • Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$9804mo ago
  • Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$6864mo ago
  • Sold No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1184mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$124mo ago
  • Bought No · Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$2344mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$74mo ago