← Whale Watch

cryptedgor

Predicting since Jan 202680 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1050¢27¢-$5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$12.6¢0.0¢-$1
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?TechNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$43.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?TechYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?WeatherYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?TechNoResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?TechYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$479¢0.0¢-$4
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechNoResolved$310¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$19.9¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$115
Tech+$67
Weather+$32
Crypto+$29
Culture-$1
Biggest hit
+$40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 10?
Toughest beat
-$117
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C or below on July 7?$7418d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 7?$4518d ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 7?$4519d ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C or below on July 7?$7419d ago
  • Sold No · Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$6619d ago
  • Bought No · Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$5627d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$41mo ago
  • Sold No · Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$251mo ago
  • Sold No · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?$171mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?$11mo ago
  • Sold No · Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$81mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$601mo ago