← Whale Watch

XAE12Archangel

Predicting since Feb 20241,601 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.1M on Politics markets since Feb 2024.

Right now: $4.4M across 15 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.6M on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$20K74¢81¢+$1.8K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$17K92¢93¢+$152
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$6.2K37¢56¢+$3.1K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$8.8K85¢86¢+$52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.7K85¢86¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$62611¢86¢+$4.2K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4.8K15¢14¢-$160
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.8K21¢18¢-$487
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$1.8K87¢91¢+$78
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$1.1K55¢56¢+$21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$97377¢80¢+$35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyNo$81881¢88¢+$71
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?CryptoNo$46461¢96¢+$260
Megaquake by July 31?WeatherNo$55879¢98¢+$137
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$40379¢82¢+$15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$36190¢95¢+$20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$36240¢41¢+$5
Obama federally charged before 2027?PoliticsNo$32989¢95¢+$23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyNo$39778¢64¢-$74
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoNo$18060¢84¢+$72
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$17470¢93¢+$57
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$18488¢93¢+$11
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?CryptoNo$15186¢96¢+$17
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$14293¢97¢+$6
Obama arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$14093¢97¢+$6
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?PoliticsNo$14194¢94¢+$0
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$9966¢94¢+$42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$1.7K20¢1.7¢-$1.5K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$12369¢69¢+$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?EconomyNo$11292¢96¢+$5
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$11192¢96¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$11056¢56¢+$1
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$7272¢98¢+$26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$11820¢14¢-$36
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?CryptoNo$5872¢92¢+$16
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$7566¢49¢-$19
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherNo$5172¢78¢+$4
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$9189¢54¢-$37
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3978¢94¢+$8
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31?PoliticsNo$3795¢97¢+$1
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?PoliticsNo$3496¢99¢+$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.7K20¢0.1¢-$3.6K
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$1868¢99¢+$8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$100020¢0.4¢-$977
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$17465¢6.5¢-$157
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?PoliticsYes$13994¢10¢-$124
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$880¢90¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2424¢7.3¢-$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$676¢84¢+$1
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$486¢95¢+$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$495¢98¢+$0
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1360¢20¢-$9
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$10814¢0.0¢-$108
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$15K32¢0.0¢-$15K
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2.7K1.9¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$9.9K3.1¢0.0¢-$9.9K
Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$372.3¢0.0¢-$37
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$372.3¢0.0¢-$37
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$75815¢0.0¢-$758
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$622¢0.0¢-$6
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?EconomyNoResolved$2865¢0.0¢-$28
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$372.3¢0.0¢-$37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$880K20¢0.0¢-$880K
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?CultureNoResolved$4925¢0.0¢-$49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$324K20¢0.0¢-$324K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?EconomyNoResolved$18052¢0.0¢-$180
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2347¢0.0¢-$23
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?CultureYesResolved$2248¢0.0¢-$22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$372.3¢0.0¢-$37
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$3.9K3.1¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Will another company be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2551¢0.0¢-$25
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$75815¢0.0¢-$758
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2.7K1.9¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4313¢0.0¢-$43
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1954.0¢0.0¢-$195
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2.7K1.9¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$372.3¢0.0¢-$37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8M25¢0.0¢-$1.8M
Will Helius be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$203K2.7¢0.0¢-$203K
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1954.0¢0.0¢-$195
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Base be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$418K2.7¢0.0¢-$418K
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$4.0K3.1¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?Premier LeagueNoResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$9.8K3.1¢0.0¢-$9.8K
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2.7K1.9¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.1M
Finance+$7.0K
Crypto+$4.1K
Economy-$1.7K
Olympics+$712
MLB-$610
Weather+$547
Culture+$443
Mentions-$347
World Cup-$162
NBA-$96
Basketball (other)-$41
Biggest hit
+$5.6M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$2.0M
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$981h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$41h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$104h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$104h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$104h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$24h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$24h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2344h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$37h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$59h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$111h ago