marchonnow

Predicting since Mar 2026180 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $16K riding on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.8K on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$16K	79¢	95¢	+$3.3K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$4	84¢	83¢	-$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	63¢	0.0¢	-$3
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$12	80¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics	YesResolved	$16	87¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	60¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Politics	YesResolved	$1	26¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$2	31¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3	65¢	0.0¢	-$3
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$5	93¢	0.0¢	-$5
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$2	44¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?Politics	YesResolved	$102	34¢	0.0¢	-$102
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Tech	YesResolved	$2	38¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	92¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Politics	YesResolved	$15	16¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$391	42¢	0.0¢	-$391
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$4	77¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics	YesResolved	$98	31¢	0.0¢	-$98
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	67¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Politics	YesResolved	$40	19¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	41¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance+$147

Politics+$89

Mentions-$80

Economy-$7

Tech-$2

World Cup-$1

Weather-$0

Biggest hit

+$2.8K

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Toughest beat

-$4.9K

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Recent moves

Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$19610d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$2.0K16d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$16028d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$70028d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$32228d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$44628d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$19528d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$2.0K29d ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$5741mo ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$41mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$51mo ago
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$2751mo ago