← Whale Watch

marchonnow

Predicting since Mar 2026179 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.6K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $22K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.8K on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$16K79¢84¢+$1.1K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$4.3K82¢92¢+$524
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K90¢99¢+$148
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$592¢99¢+$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$593¢94¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$478¢83¢+$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$363¢0.0¢-$3
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1280¢0.0¢-$12
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$1687¢0.0¢-$16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?PoliticsYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?PoliticsYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$25.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$10234¢0.0¢-$102
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?TechYesResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$592¢0.0¢-$5
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?PoliticsYesResolved$1516¢0.0¢-$15
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$39142¢0.0¢-$391
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$477¢0.0¢-$4
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?PoliticsYesResolved$9831¢0.0¢-$98
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?PoliticsYesResolved$4019¢0.0¢-$40
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.6K
Finance+$147
Mentions-$80
Economy-$7
Tech-$2
World Cup-$1
Weather-$0
Biggest hit
+$2.8K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Toughest beat
-$4.9K
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$56d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$227d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$2.0K7d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$8767d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.4K7d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$207d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$687d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$3347d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$418d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$2328d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$58d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$458d ago