 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8.0K | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$2.5K |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $4.4K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$170 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $3.4K | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$416 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$706 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $5.5K | 47¢ | 11¢ | -$4.2K |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 42¢ | 46¢ | +$91 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $954 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$184 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Finance | Yes | $567 | 63¢ | 82¢ | +$175 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $412 | 9.2¢ | 17¢ | +$328 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $984 | 55¢ | 41¢ | -$255 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $590 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$128 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $448 | 56¢ | 87¢ | +$244 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 4.9¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2.1K |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $412 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$225 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 17¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2.3K |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $293 | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | +$14 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $191 | 5.3¢ | 8.3¢ | +$110 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $83 | 27¢ | 84¢ | +$177 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $223 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$16 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $136 | 36¢ | 63¢ | +$99 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $303 | 3.9¢ | 3.0¢ | -$70 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $168 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$57 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $138 | 10.0¢ | 16¢ | +$80 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $188 | 5.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$19 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | Yes | $128 | 29¢ | 47¢ | +$78 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $120 | 55¢ | 80¢ | +$52 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $270 | 49¢ | 31¢ | -$102 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$44 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $117 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$26 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | Yes | $188 | 6.0¢ | 4.3¢ | -$54 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | Yes | $234 | 12¢ | 6.7¢ | -$102 |
 Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $103 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $118 | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$5 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $264 | 1.3¢ | 0.5¢ | -$154 |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $80 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$19 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | No | $10K | 16¢ | 0.1¢ | -$10K |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $56 | 44¢ | 76¢ | +$41 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 14¢ | 69¢ | +$77 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 56¢ | 96¢ | +$39 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $78 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | No | $122 | 4.0¢ | 2.8¢ | -$38 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance | Yes | $803 | 6.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$730 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $53 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$21 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$26 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 1.5¢ | -$153 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $48 | 59¢ | 69¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 59¢ | 76¢ | +$13 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $372 | 43¢ | 6.5¢ | -$316 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 1.4¢ | -$157 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $201 | 5.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$153 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $26 | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$21 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$165 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$169 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$169 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$175 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | No | $284 | 3.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$250 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 6.2¢ | 7.4¢ | +$6 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $102 | 64¢ | 21¢ | -$69 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 12¢ | 42¢ | +$15 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.5¢ | -$191 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Finance | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 11¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$201 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.2¢ | -$203 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$205 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$205 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.7¢ | 1.4¢ | -$5 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $84 | 12¢ | 0.7¢ | -$79 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $135 | 20¢ | 0.6¢ | -$131 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$209 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$209 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | No | $80 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$79 |
| Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $638 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$638 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $258 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$258 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2.6K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $993 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$993 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $108 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $214 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$214 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $15K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15K |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $428 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$428 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $884 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$884 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $772 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$772 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $448 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$448 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $335 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$335 |
| Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $7.4K | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.4K |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $3.1K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4.7K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.7K |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |