 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4.9K | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$1.3K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $902 | 43¢ | 31¢ | -$259 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?Politics | No | $267 | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$35 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?Politics | No | $138 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$19 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $190 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$40 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $186 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$69 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $234 | 39¢ | 18¢ | -$129 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $158 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$59 |
 Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $54 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$40 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 36¢ | 33¢ | -$7 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $62 | 31¢ | 22¢ | -$18 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | Yes | $49 | 13¢ | 8.4¢ | -$17 |
 Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?Politics | Yes | $36 | 36¢ | 30¢ | -$7 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Politics | Yes | $57 | 14¢ | 4.5¢ | -$39 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | Yes | $47 | 14¢ | 4.3¢ | -$32 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?Politics | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 10¢ | -$20 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $430?Finance | YesResolved | $171 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$171 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $280 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$280 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $435?Finance | YesResolved | $78 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24?Finance | UpResolved | $252 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$252 |
 Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $98 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $425?Finance | YesResolved | $68 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $54 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?Finance | UpResolved | $75 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?Finance | UpResolved | $95 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
| Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $174 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$174 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?Crypto | NoResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics | NoResolved | $98 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?Crypto | YesResolved | $62 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on April 29?Finance | NoResolved | $33 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $819 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$819 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 4?Finance | NoResolved | $51 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $219 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$219 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?Crypto | YesResolved | $82 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Finance | UpResolved | $25 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?Finance | UpResolved | $64 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?Finance | NoResolved | $88 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?Finance | DownResolved | $188 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$188 |
 Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?Finance | UpResolved | $25 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?Finance | UpResolved | $10 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?Finance | DownResolved | $44 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?Finance | UpResolved | $25 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Sold Yes · Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?$9315h ago