 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $273 | 21¢ | 33¢ | +$146 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $285 | 57¢ | 83¢ | +$128 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $261 | 52¢ | 68¢ | +$77 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 4.0¢ | 86¢ | +$251 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $124 | 34¢ | 63¢ | +$104 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $70 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$42 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $100 | 72¢ | 56¢ | -$22 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $16 | 2.4¢ | 11¢ | +$60 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $96 | 3.4¢ | 2.5¢ | -$25 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$27 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $57 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$6 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $54 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$9 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $18 | 18¢ | 44¢ | +$26 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $34 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$16 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $35 | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$3 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 67¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Culture | Yes | $51 | 8.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$47 |
 Will Arnold Allen fight Kevin Vallejos next?UFC / MMA | Yes | $0 | 5.0¢ | 29¢ | +$2 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $100 | 31¢ | 0.4¢ | -$99 |
 Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?Culture | YesResolved | $35 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?Culture | YesResolved | $56 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $30 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?Culture | YesResolved | $54 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Culture | YesResolved | $52 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $42 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will Michael Olise have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?Culture | YesResolved | $29 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $124 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
 Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $15 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?Culture | YesResolved | $17 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $85 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
 Panama vs. England: England O/U 7.5 CornersWorld Cup | OverResolved | $100 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $59 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $288 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$288 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $79 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $25 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?Premier League | YesResolved | $156 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$156 |
 Will "The Breadwinner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?Culture | YesResolved | $1.6K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $112 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
 Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Culture | YesResolved | $12 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?Culture | YesResolved | $33 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageeSports | TheMongolzResolved | $65 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?Culture | NoResolved | $133 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 57m?Culture | YesResolved | $21 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $261 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$261 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?Culture | YesResolved | $23 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?Culture | YesResolved | $94 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
| Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?Weather | YesResolved | $482 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$482 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will Chris Wood score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $79 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
| Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $25 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?Culture | YesResolved | $44 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?Culture | YesResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?Culture | YesResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?Culture | YesResolved | $23 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?Golf | YesResolved | $8 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $32 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?Culture | YesResolved | $21 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $108 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Spurs vs. ThunderNBA | ThunderResolved | $86 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$12d ago