← Whale Watch

Roflan-ludoman

Predicting since Apr 20251,069 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $127K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $77K across 12 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$70K on US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$25K50¢80¢+$15K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$15K76¢81¢+$900
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$6.5K54¢91¢+$4.3K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$25K50¢20¢-$15K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.5K86¢92¢+$564
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$9.6K96¢98¢+$185
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$6.7K55¢79¢+$3.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6.1K84¢81¢-$171
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$3.7K38¢26¢-$1.2K
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.2K92¢96¢+$103
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.9K95¢99¢+$66
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K86¢95¢+$176
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$3.6K39¢21¢-$1.7K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K62¢95¢+$554
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsSomething$1.3K18¢20¢+$138
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75286¢88¢+$13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K38¢24¢-$444
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.0K41¢9.0¢-$1.5K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$31758¢56¢-$8
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13399¢100¢+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$31630¢8.5¢-$226
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$95740¢3.7¢-$869
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$6988¢89¢+$1
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$4718¢14¢-$11
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$6432¢13¢-$39
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3216¢6.0¢-$20
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$850¢47¢-$1
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K75¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$61541¢0.0¢-$615
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.4K37¢0.0¢-$3.4K
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6.6K25¢0.0¢-$6.6K
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$2.3K66¢0.0¢-$2.3K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$21869¢0.0¢-$218
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2713.4¢0.0¢-$271
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageeSportsOGResolved$3929¢0.0¢-$39
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffseSportsAuroraResolved$23115¢0.0¢-$231
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.5K85¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3.3K52¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1.7K17¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnereSportsNatus VincereResolved$41844¢0.0¢-$418
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$78039¢0.0¢-$780
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?PoliticsYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnereSportsMOUZResolved$20040¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K10¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$91822¢0.0¢-$918
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$23752¢0.0¢-$237
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffseSportsTundra EsportsResolved$89646¢0.0¢-$896
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K12¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$5540¢0.0¢-$55
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2576.5¢0.0¢-$257
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$27839¢0.0¢-$278
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$24K58¢0.0¢-$24K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$3.0K84¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$79140¢0.0¢-$791
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12K54¢0.0¢-$12K
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8375.1¢0.0¢-$837
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15K76¢0.0¢-$15K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$7688.2¢0.0¢-$768
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K68¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16K50¢0.0¢-$16K
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnereSportsTundra EsportsResolved$17265¢0.0¢-$172
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$91.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?PoliticsYesResolved$369.0¢0.0¢-$36
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam SpiritResolved$66851¢0.0¢-$668
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.6K71¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageeSportsMOUZResolved$39254¢0.0¢-$392
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K30¢0.0¢-$1.4K
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$11550¢0.0¢-$115
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$1.4K47¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsNoResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$12943¢0.0¢-$129
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K20¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsVici GamingResolved$11332¢0.0¢-$113
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnereSportsXtreme GamingResolved$18338¢0.0¢-$183
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?PoliticsYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K8.5¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2eSportsAuroraResolved$81281¢0.0¢-$812
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K26¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnereSportsMOUZResolved$30144¢0.0¢-$301
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$29634¢0.0¢-$296
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$9785.5¢0.0¢-$978
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K23¢0.0¢-$1.1K
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.7K53¢0.0¢-$4.7K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$10530¢0.0¢-$105
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$1.1K67¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnereSportsTeam SpiritResolved$6049¢0.0¢-$60
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageeSportsTeam FalconsResolved$7221¢0.0¢-$72
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved-$0-0.0¢0.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$127K
Crypto+$23K
eSports-$8.8K
Tech+$4.4K
Economy+$3.3K
Other sports-$3.1K
Finance-$2.2K
Culture+$1.0K
Tennis+$317
Other+$119
Mentions+$21
Formula 1-$0
Biggest hit
+$70K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$75K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$2118d ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5328d ago
  • Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$58d ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$128d ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1528d ago
  • Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$608d ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2318d ago
  • Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$888d ago