← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Oct 2024786 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $91K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $218K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$264K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAMax HollowayResolved$70K70¢100¢+$30K
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupNoResolved$84K96¢100¢+$3.2K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6.5K16¢100¢+$35K
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$16K63¢100¢+$9.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7.1K32¢100¢+$15K
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?PoliticsNoResolved$14K95¢100¢+$733
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K11¢100¢+$11K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.3K23¢100¢+$7.7K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$4.9K92¢97¢+$247
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$10K10¢4.7¢-$5.3K
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?PoliticsYesResolved$69040¢100¢+$1.0K
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$1.2K75¢100¢+$383
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$4.1K4.1¢1.2¢-$2.9K
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$83075¢100¢+$278
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$12316¢100¢+$646
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?PoliticsYesResolved$64389¢100¢+$83
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$92437¢19¢-$457
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3417¢100¢+$166
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?PoliticsNo$13785¢88¢+$5
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?PoliticsYesResolved$6083¢100¢+$13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsNoResolved$918¢100¢+$41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$186¢100¢+$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$553¢12¢-$4
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?FinanceNoResolved$20K39¢0.0¢-$20K
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.6K3.1¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?CultureNoResolved$4294¢0.0¢-$42
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$8.3K10¢0.0¢-$8.3K
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K1.0¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$17K35¢0.0¢-$17K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Colts vs. SteelersNFLColtsResolved$2.9K6.4¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?BoxingNoResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6063.0¢0.0¢-$606
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$630¢0.0¢-$6
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2871.8¢0.0¢-$287
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4.5K6.3¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7PM ETCryptoUpResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$6.5K13¢0.0¢-$6.5K
Buccaneers vs. SaintsNFLSaintsResolved$11K35¢0.0¢-$11K
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$4.4K11¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1521¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.8K3.9¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$3212.3¢0.0¢-$321
Spurs vs. LakersNBASpursResolved$10K50¢0.0¢-$10K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1911¢0.0¢-$19
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$7058.1¢0.0¢-$705
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?PoliticsNoResolved$1.6K53¢0.0¢-$1.6K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.7K31¢0.0¢-$4.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20K12¢0.0¢-$20K
Lions vs. VikingsNFLLionsResolved$3.8K6.3¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Panthers vs. JetsNFLJetsResolved$18K51¢0.0¢-$18K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$2.0K11¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?MLBNoResolved$27K56¢0.0¢-$27K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$420¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$582.0¢0.0¢-$58
Cowboys vs. EaglesNFLCowboysResolved$1.4K32¢0.0¢-$1.4K
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K3.9¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8940¢0.0¢-$89
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7.5K5.0¢0.0¢-$7.5K
Titans vs. BroncosNFLTitansResolved$15K25¢0.0¢-$15K
Packers vs. GiantsNFLGiantsResolved$26K26¢0.0¢-$26K
Patriots vs. BengalsNFLBengalsResolved$37K23¢0.0¢-$37K
Bills vs. PanthersNFLPanthersResolved$7.5K25¢0.0¢-$7.5K
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5NFLOverResolved$1.3K44¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?NFLNoResolved$731.0¢0.0¢-$73
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?TechNoResolved$1.6K25¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Jaguars vs. TitansNFLTitansResolved$17K29¢0.0¢-$17K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$14K6.9¢0.0¢-$14K
Cavaliers vs. CelticsNBACavaliersResolved$24K61¢0.0¢-$24K
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K5.0¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Eagles vs. PackersNFLPackersResolved$43K50¢0.0¢-$43K
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$60244¢0.0¢-$602
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$15K6.0¢0.0¢-$15K
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$65778¢0.0¢-$657
Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?PoliticsNoResolved$1318¢0.0¢-$13
Will Danielle Fishel & Pasha Pashkov win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?CultureYesResolved$5394¢0.0¢-$53
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$898.0¢0.0¢-$89
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1723¢0.0¢-$17
Ravens vs. BrownsNFLBrownsResolved$21011¢0.0¢-$210
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$42360¢0.0¢-$423
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?PoliticsNoResolved$6.4K21¢0.0¢-$6.4K
Titans vs. JaguarsNFLTitansResolved$214.0¢0.0¢-$21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K2.1¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$24K48¢0.0¢-$24K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?TechNoResolved$9.4K19¢0.0¢-$9.4K
Will Trump pardon Waddle?PoliticsYesResolved$11532¢0.0¢-$115
Bears vs. RavensNFLBearsResolved$83837¢0.0¢-$838
Will Eric Adams drop out first?PoliticsNoResolved$47322¢0.0¢-$473
Bills vs. JaguarsNFLJaguarsResolved$49049¢0.0¢-$490
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K10¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Cowboys vs. BroncosNFLCowboysResolved$27K33¢0.0¢-$27K
Pacers vs. MavericksNBAPacersResolved$13K32¢0.0¢-$13K
Raiders vs. EaglesNFLRaidersResolved$5.1K5.0¢0.0¢-$5.1K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$43K25¢0.0¢-$43K
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?PoliticsYesResolved$23114¢0.0¢-$231
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$3.5K6.7¢0.0¢-$3.5K
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5NFLOverResolved$8.5K48¢0.0¢-$8.5K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$91K
MLB-$31K
UFC / MMA+$30K
NFL+$23K
Culture+$23K
Finance-$20K
Crypto-$16K
Boxing+$12K
Tech-$10K
eSports+$7.7K
Mentions+$6.8K
NBA+$6.2K
Biggest hit
+$264K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$160K
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.4K6d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5927d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2097d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$237d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$107d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3217d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$167d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87d ago
  • Bought No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$197d ago