FriendlyFriend

Predicting since Mar 202680 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.3K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $3.2K riding on US x Iran ceasefire by...?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Crypto	No	$595	85¢	87¢	+$11
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?Other sports	Yes	$2	20¢	25¢	+$0
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$17	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture	NoResolved	$50	48¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$44	15¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf	YesResolved	$20	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf	YesResolved	$44	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics	NoResolved	$126	66¢	0.0¢	-$126
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Culture	NoResolved	$172	74¢	0.0¢	-$172
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf	YesResolved	$48	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$48
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$50	25¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Tennis	YesResolved	$55	18¢	0.0¢	-$55
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture	NoResolved	$52	21¢	0.0¢	-$52
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$0	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf	YesResolved	$21	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?Formula 1	VerstappenResolved	$51	51¢	0.0¢	-$51
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$36	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$195	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$195
Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf	YesResolved	$37	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$66	11¢	0.0¢	-$66
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 20, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	25¢	0.0¢	-$5
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?Formula 1	ColapintoResolved	$0	22¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$18	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$275	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$275
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics	NoResolved	$3.2K	91¢	0.0¢	-$3.2K
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5World Cup	OverResolved	$172	43¢	0.0¢	-$172
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$16	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sports	YesResolved	$24	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$29	7.2¢	0.0¢	-$29
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf	YesResolved	$6	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$52	26¢	0.0¢	-$52
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$3	18¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$20	32¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Tennis	YesResolved	$100	25¢	0.0¢	-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.3K

Culture-$274

Golf-$173

World Cup-$156

Tennis-$155

Formula 1+$65

Other sports+$39

UFC / MMA+$36

Finance-$29

Crypto+$11

Biggest hit

+$312

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Toughest beat

-$18

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$027d ago
Cashed out No · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$027d ago
Cashed out Yes · JD Vance out as VP by June 30?$027d ago
Cashed out Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?$027d ago
Cashed out No · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$027d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$027d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$027d ago
Cashed out No · World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$6001mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Morocco score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4002mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$33mo ago