Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.6K | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$292 |
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $1.3K | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$47 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $769 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$52 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $674 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $597 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $344 | 20¢ | 27¢ | +$115 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $309 | 55¢ | 82¢ | +$145 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $306 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$77 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $250 | 71¢ | 89¢ | +$63 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $273 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$4 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $154 | 57¢ | 86¢ | +$77 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $402 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$185 |
Will PAM get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $177 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$33 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $198 | 49¢ | 52¢ | +$9 |
Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $158 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$42 |
Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $170 | 59¢ | 69¢ | +$28 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Tech | No | $190 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $171 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$14 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $202 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$18 |
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $208 | 73¢ | 62¢ | -$32 |
Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $172 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?Politics | Over | $186 | 76¢ | 64¢ | -$29 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | No | $163 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$9 |
Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $123 | 58¢ | 72¢ | +$30 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Politics | No | $151 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $112 | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$35 |
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $125 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | No | $93 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $92 | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$20 |
Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Politics | No | $113 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | No | $122 | 57¢ | 50¢ | -$17 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $101 | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $100 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $62 | 31¢ | 53¢ | +$43 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Politics | Under | $127 | 68¢ | 53¢ | -$28 |
Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $79 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$17 |
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $93 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Will Marcio Bittar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $69 | 42¢ | 55¢ | +$23 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | No | $68 | 51¢ | 66¢ | +$20 |
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics | No | $81 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $113 | 80¢ | 60¢ | -$28 |
Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $78 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?Politics | Over | $64 | 65¢ | 82¢ | +$16 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?Politics | Over | $104 | 77¢ | 57¢ | -$26 |
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $69 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $53 | 28¢ | 40¢ | +$22 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics | No | $67 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $68 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Politics | Over | $23 | 16¢ | 47¢ | +$43 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $56 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$5 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | No | $57 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$3 |
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics | No | $55 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $58 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $38 | 9.3¢ | 14¢ | +$19 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $55 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $47 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $60 | 61¢ | 51¢ | -$10 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $67 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$19 |
Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $44 | 94¢ | 90¢ | -$2 |
Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $39 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics | No | $37 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $30 | 7.4¢ | 9.1¢ | +$7 |
Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $34 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $36 | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 34¢ | 13¢ | -$57 |
Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $32 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $34 | 85¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 11%?Politics | Over | $23 | 22¢ | 31¢ | +$9 |
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $30 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $28 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Politics | Over | $26 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Politics | No | $25 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $26 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $23 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $23 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | No | $21 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $22 | 5.1¢ | 4.8¢ | -$1 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $19 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 41¢ | +$11 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $16 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $13 | 19¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%?Politics | Over | $13 | 53¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 32¢ | 42¢ | +$4 |
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $13 | 29¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $16 | 52¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $13 | 33¢ | 40¢ | +$3 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics | No | $8 | 10¢ | 17¢ | +$5 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Politics | Under | $9 | 31¢ | 45¢ | +$4 |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $13 | 51¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $10 | 65¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $15 | 3.5¢ | 2.5¢ | -$4 |
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 2.3¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.1¢ | 11¢ | +$5 |
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 9.7¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $7 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 2.9¢ | 3.1¢ | +$0 |
Will AfD win 36 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.7¢ | 3.9¢ | +$5 |